Fixture · Bundesliga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:30 GMT
1. FC Köln
v Bayer Leverkusen
The model's read
1. FC Köln
39%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Bayer Leverkusen
36%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Köln or draw | 63.9% |
| Double chance Bayer Leverkusen or draw | 60.7% |
| Double chance either team | 75.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% |
| Both teams to score | 67.6% |
| 1. FC Köln over 1.5 team goals | 51.7% |
| Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 team goals | 49.3% |
| 1. FC Köln clean sheet | 19.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet | 17.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.6% · 2-1 8.4% · 1-2 8.0% · 2-2 6.9% · 2-0 5.1%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Bayer Leverkusen: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
1. FC Köln
- 1. FC Köln are winless in their last 3 league games (D2 L1).
- Both teams scored in 5 of 1. FC Köln's last 6 home league games.
Bayer Leverkusen
- 6 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- M. Schwäbe has made 29 saves in 8 league games this season.
- S. El Mala has scored 2 goals in 7 league games this season.
- T. Dallinga has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- P. Schick has scored 7 goals in 8 league games this season.
- Miguel Gutiérrez has 1 goal and 4 assists in 8 league games this season.
- I. Maza has scored 3 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
1. FC Köln
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | D | 1-1 | Union Berlin (A) | 1.2 - 0.9 |
| 24 Oct | D | 0-0 | FC Schalke 04 (H) | 1.3 - 0.7 |
| 16 Oct | L | 0-1 | Eintracht Frankfurt (A) | 0.7 - 1.4 |
| 11 Oct | W | 2-1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) | 1.4 - 1.2 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hamburger SV (A) | 1.4 - 1.4 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Werder Bremen (H) | 1.6 - 1.1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 2-4 | VfB Stuttgart (H) | 2.1 - 2.9 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-3 | 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 0.7 - 3.3 |
| 22 Oct | W | 2-0 | OFI (A) | 3.1 - 0.3 |
| 18 Oct | W | 2-1 | SC Freiburg (H) | 1.7 - 1.1 |
| 15 Oct | W | 4-0 | Lech Poznan (A) | 5.2 - 0.5 |
| 10 Oct | W | 4-3 | FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 1.7 - 2.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
1. FC Köln
+0.04
xG diff/game · 1.55 for, 1.51 against
Bayer Leverkusen
+0.26
xG diff/game · 2.00 for, 1.74 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 1.125 | 9–12 | DDLWL |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 1.625 | 18–16 | LLWWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2-2-0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 2.0 / 2.8 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: 1. FC Köln 2 wins, 1 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 7 wins — 2.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 26 | 1. FC Köln | 1-2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 13 Dec 25 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2-0 | 1. FC Köln |