Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 12:30 GMT
1. FC Magdeburg
v FC St. Pauli
The model's read
1. FC Magdeburg
33%
match result
Draw
28%
match result
FC St. Pauli
39%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Magdeburg or draw | 60.8% |
| Double chance FC St. Pauli or draw | 66.8% |
| Double chance either team | 72.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.8% |
| Both teams to score | 57.9% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 team goals | 38.5% |
| FC St. Pauli over 1.5 team goals | 43.1% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet | 23.0% |
| FC St. Pauli clean sheet | 26.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.1% · 1-2 8.7% · 2-1 7.9% · 0-1 7.7% · 0-0 7.3%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
1. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg have averaged 2.7 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
FC St. Pauli
- FC St. Pauli are winless in their last 3 league games (D2 L1).
- FC St. Pauli have not won any of their last 5 away league games (D5 L0).
- Both teams scored in 4 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 away league games.
Players in form
- Alexander Nollenberger has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
- Dominik Reimann has made 12 saves in 2 league games this season.
- Barış Atik has 2 assists in 2 league games this season.
- Ben Voll has made 10 saves in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
1. FC Magdeburg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 1-1 | SV Darmstadt 98 (A) | 0.8 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | W | 6-1 | Karlsruher SC (H) | 2.8 - 0.7 |
| 18 Oct | L | 0-2 | Dynamo Dresden (A) | 0.9 - 2.1 |
| 10 Oct | W | 3-0 | Hannover 96 (H) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
| 18 Sep | D | 1-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (A) | 0.9 - 0.7 |
| 12 Sep | W | 3-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern (H) | 1.1 - 1.1 |
FC St. Pauli
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-3 | 1. FC Nürnberg (H) | 4.0 - 0.9 |
| 23 Oct | D | 0-0 | SV Darmstadt 98 (A) | 1.9 - 0.8 |
| 17 Oct | D | 1-1 | Hannover 96 (A) | 1.0 - 1.4 |
| 11 Oct | W | 2-0 | Karlsruher SC (H) | 0.8 - 1.2 |
| 20 Sep | D | 1-1 | Energie Cottbus (A) | 0.8 - 1.1 |
| 12 Sep | W | 1-0 | VfL Wolfsburg (H) | — |
Chance quality, most recent season
1. FC Magdeburg
-0.18
xG diff/game · 1.26 for, 1.45 against
FC St. Pauli
+0.48
xG diff/game · 1.68 for, 1.20 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 1.7 | 21–13 | DWLWD |
| FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 1.2 | 12–12 | LDDWD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 4-0-1 | 3.0 / 1.4 | 3 |
| FC St. Pauli | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-5-0 | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 7 meetings: 1. FC Magdeburg 1 wins, 1 draws, FC St. Pauli 5 wins — 2.86 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.