Fixture · Scottish Premiership · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 16:00 GMT
Celtic
v Kilmarnock
The model's read
Celtic
67%
match result
Draw
19%
match result
Kilmarnock
14%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Celtic or draw | 86.4% |
| Double chance Kilmarnock or draw | 32.6% |
| Double chance either team | 81.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.5% |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Celtic over 1.5 team goals | 70.3% |
| Kilmarnock over 1.5 team goals | 28.3% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 35.0% |
| Kilmarnock clean sheet | 8.6% |
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 9.5% · 2-0 9.0% · 1-1 8.5% · 3-1 7.8% · 3-0 7.4%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Celtic: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
- Kilmarnock have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Recent form
Celtic
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-2 | Falkirk (A) | 2.8 - 1.1 |
| 28 Oct | D | 2-2 | Dundee Utd (H) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-1 | Hibernian (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
| 22 Oct | L | 1-2 | Celta Vigo (H) | 0.6 - 1.3 |
| 18 Oct | W | 7-1 | Heart Of Midlothian (H) | 4.2 - 1.3 |
| 15 Oct | L | 1-4 | Benfica (A) | 1.3 - 2.8 |
Kilmarnock
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 2-2 | ST Johnstone (H) | 3.4 - 0.8 |
| 28 Oct | L | 1-3 | Dundee (A) | 2.2 - 2.3 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-3 | Falkirk (A) | 1.9 - 2.1 |
| 17 Oct | W | 3-2 | Motherwell (H) | 1.6 - 2.5 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-3 | Rangers (A) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Heart Of Midlothian (H) | 0.2 - 1.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Celtic
+1.41
xG diff/game · 2.52 for, 1.11 against
Kilmarnock
-0.04
xG diff/game · 1.54 for, 1.57 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.