Fixture · Primeira Liga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 15:30 GMT
Estoril
v Maritimo
The model's read
Estoril
30%
match result
Draw
29%
match result
Maritimo
41%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Estoril or draw | 59.2% |
| Double chance Maritimo or draw | 69.5% |
| Double chance either team | 71.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.3% |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% |
| Estoril over 1.5 team goals | 33.3% |
| Maritimo over 1.5 team goals | 41.1% |
| Estoril clean sheet | 24.5% |
| Maritimo clean sheet | 30.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.7% · 0-1 9.2% · 1-2 8.8% · 0-0 8.7% · 1-0 7.6%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Estoril
- Estoril have lost their last 5 league games.
- Estoril are winless in their last 7 league games (D1 L6).
Maritimo
- Maritimo have lost their last 3 league games.
- Maritimo are winless in their last 6 league games (D1 L5).
- Maritimo have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Recent form
Estoril
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-4 | FC Porto (A) | 0.6 - 3.1 |
| 25 Oct | L | 1-3 | Moreirense (H) | 2.1 - 1.4 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Academico Viseu (A) | 1.4 - 0.8 |
| 20 Sep | L | 1-2 | Casa Pia (H) | 0.9 - 2.2 |
| 14 Sep | L | 0-1 | SC Braga (A) | 0.8 - 1.8 |
| 07 Sep | D | 0-0 | Arouca (H) | 0.9 - 1.1 |
Maritimo
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 0-2 | Santa Clara (H) | 2.1 - 0.8 |
| 23 Oct | L | 0-5 | Vitória SC (A) | 0.5 - 1.8 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | FC Porto (H) | 0.3 - 2.2 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | GIL Vicente (A) | 0.9 - 1.2 |
| 14 Sep | L | 1-3 | Moreirense (A) | 0.8 - 2.0 |
| 05 Sep | L | 0-3 | Benfica (H) | 0.1 - 1.3 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Estoril
-0.76
xG diff/game · 1.01 for, 1.77 against
Maritimo
-0.78
xG diff/game · 0.78 for, 1.56 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.