Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 16:15 GMT
Le Mans
v Monaco
The model's read
Le Mans
29%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Monaco
44%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Le Mans or draw | 55.8% |
| Double chance Monaco or draw | 71.1% |
| Double chance either team | 73.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Le Mans over 1.5 team goals | 36.0% |
| Monaco over 1.5 team goals | 47.7% |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 20.1% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 28.3% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.7% · 1-2 9.2% · 0-1 8.0% · 0-2 7.3% · 2-1 7.3%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Le Mans
- Le Mans are winless in their last 4 league games (D1 L3).
- Le Mans have conceded in each of their last 9 league games.
Monaco
- Monaco are winless in their last 4 league games (D2 L2).
- Monaco have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Players in form
- N. Kocik has made 26 saves in 8 league games this season.
- L. Mafouta has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- A. Bourabaa has scored 3 goals in 5 league games this season.
- L. Hrádecký has made 31 saves in 9 league games this season.
- Paris Josua Brunner has scored 4 goals in 7 league games this season.
- E. Diop has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Le Mans
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-2 | Estac Troyes (A) | 0.3 - 1.8 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Auxerre (A) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
| 16 Oct | L | 0-3 | Toulouse (H) | 0.8 - 1.7 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-3 | Paris Saint Germain (A) | 1.6 - 4.2 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Lorient (H) | 0.9 - 1.0 |
| 13 Sep | D | 2-2 | Lens (H) | 2.6 - 1.6 |
Monaco
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-3 | Paris FC (A) | 0.8 - 2.1 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Lille (H) | 2.2 - 0.7 |
| 18 Oct | L | 0-1 | Lorient (A) | 0.7 - 1.7 |
| 10 Oct | D | 2-2 | Toulouse (H) | 1.1 - 1.4 |
| 18 Sep | W | 2-1 | Lens (H) | 1.8 - 1.2 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Strasbourg (A) | 1.1 - 1.0 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Le Mans
-0.44
xG diff/game · 1.40 for, 1.85 against
Monaco
-0.13
xG diff/game · 1.23 for, 1.36 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 0.778 | 11–18 | LDLLW |
| Monaco | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 1.667 | 12–10 | LDLDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-2-1 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 0 |
| Monaco | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 1.0 / 0.8 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 4 meetings: Le Mans 0 wins, 1 draws, Monaco 3 wins — 3.25 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.