Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 GMT
Rennes
v Lille
The model's read
Rennes
35%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Lille
40%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Rennes or draw | 59.6% |
| Double chance Lille or draw | 64.7% |
| Double chance either team | 75.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.1% |
| Both teams to score | 68.3% |
| Rennes over 1.5 team goals | 49.4% |
| Lille over 1.5 team goals | 53.2% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 16.8% |
| Lille clean sheet | 19.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.4% · 1-2 8.4% · 2-1 7.9% · 2-2 7.0% · 0-2 5.1%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Rennes
- Rennes have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- 5 of Rennes's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Rennes have averaged 2.5 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Lille
- Lille are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W2 D2).
- Only 1 of Lille's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Lille have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- B. Samba has made 26 saves in 7 league games this season.
- E. Lepaul has scored 7 goals in 7 league games this season.
- S. Szymański has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- B. Özer has made 27 saves in 8 league games this season.
- O. Giroud has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- Tiago Santos has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Rennes
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | L | 2-5 | Nice (A) | 2.7 - 3.5 |
| 25 Oct | W | 3-0 | Strasbourg (H) | 1.7 - 0.9 |
| 22 Oct | D | 2-2 | Juventus (A) | 1.7 - 2.2 |
| 18 Oct | L | 3-4 | Paris FC (A) | 3.1 - 3.7 |
| 15 Oct | W | 2-1 | OFI (H) | 1.7 - 0.1 |
| 11 Oct | W | 4-1 | Auxerre (H) | 2.0 - 1.5 |
Lille
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | W | 1-0 | Lens (H) | 1.8 - 0.2 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Monaco (A) | 0.7 - 2.2 |
| 21 Oct | L | 2-4 | Galatasaray (H) | 1.8 - 1.7 |
| 17 Oct | D | 1-1 | Stade Brestois 29 (H) | 1.9 - 0.8 |
| 13 Oct | L | 0-3 | Arsenal (A) | 0.4 - 1.9 |
| 10 Oct | W | 1-0 | Le Havre (H) | 1.3 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Rennes
-0.31
xG diff/game · 1.95 for, 2.26 against
Lille
-0.03
xG diff/game · 1.36 for, 1.39 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 1.778 | 20–19 | LWLWL |
| Lille | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 2.0 | 12–6 | WDDWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 4-1-0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2 |
| Lille | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 2-1-1 | 1.3 / 0.8 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Rennes 1 wins, 4 draws, Lille 5 wins — 2.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 26 | Rennes | 1-2 | Lille |
| 03 Jan 26 | Lille | 0-2 | Rennes |