Fixture · Bundesliga · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 16:30 GMT
SC Freiburg
v Union Berlin
The model's read
SC Freiburg
56%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
Union Berlin
18%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance SC Freiburg or draw | 81.6% |
| Double chance Union Berlin or draw | 43.8% |
| Double chance either team | 74.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| SC Freiburg over 1.5 team goals | 53.0% |
| Union Berlin over 1.5 team goals | 23.8% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 39.5% |
| Union Berlin clean sheet | 16.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.1% · 1-0 10.8% · 2-0 10.5% · 2-1 9.8% · 0-0 7.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
SC Freiburg
- Both teams have scored in each of SC Freiburg's last 5 league games.
- 5 of SC Freiburg's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of SC Freiburg's last 6 home league games.
- SC Freiburg have averaged 2.8 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Union Berlin
- Union Berlin are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W1 D3).
- Union Berlin are winless in their last 3 league games (D3 L0).
- 5 of Union Berlin's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Players in form
- Y. Suzuki has scored 4 goals in 7 league games this season.
- I. Matanović has scored 4 goals in 8 league games this season.
- M. Backhaus has made 19 saves in 8 league games this season.
- F. Rønnow has made 27 saves in 7 league games this season.
- T. Skarke has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
- J. Haberer has scored 2 goals in 8 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
SC Freiburg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 2-1 | FC Augsburg (A) | 1.4 - 1.5 |
| 25 Oct | L | 1-3 | Bayern München (H) | 1.1 - 3.0 |
| 18 Oct | L | 1-2 | Bayer Leverkusen (A) | 1.1 - 1.7 |
| 11 Oct | W | 2-1 | FC Schalke 04 (H) | 1.1 - 0.3 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Eintracht Frankfurt (A) | 3.1 - 2.2 |
| 12 Sep | W | 5-0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) | 2.6 - 0.2 |
Union Berlin
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | D | 1-1 | 1. FC Köln (H) | 0.9 - 1.2 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | FC Augsburg (A) | 1.2 - 1.9 |
| 17 Oct | D | 0-0 | Borussia Dortmund (H) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 10 Oct | W | 1-0 | SV Elversberg (H) | 1.6 - 0.3 |
| 18 Sep | L | 0-7 | Bayern München (A) | 0.3 - 3.7 |
| 11 Sep | L | 1-3 | FC Schalke 04 (H) | 1.9 - 2.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
SC Freiburg
+0.43
xG diff/game · 1.69 for, 1.27 against
Union Berlin
-0.81
xG diff/game · 1.15 for, 1.95 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 2.0 | 18–10 | WLLWD |
| Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 0.875 | 7–19 | DDDWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | home | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 3-0-1 | 3.0 / 1.3 | 1 |
| Union Berlin | away | Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 0-1-2 | 0.3 / 4.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: SC Freiburg 1 wins, 4 draws, Union Berlin 5 wins — 2.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 26 | SC Freiburg | 0-1 | Union Berlin |
| 01 Nov 25 | Union Berlin | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |