Fixture · Ligue 1 · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 16:15 GMT
Stade Brestois 29
v Lyon
The model's read
Stade Brestois 29
38%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Lyon
35%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Stade Brestois 29 or draw | 65.1% |
| Double chance Lyon or draw | 62.1% |
| Double chance either team | 72.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% |
| Stade Brestois 29 over 1.5 team goals | 43.3% |
| Lyon over 1.5 team goals | 40.9% |
| Stade Brestois 29 clean sheet | 24.6% |
| Lyon clean sheet | 23.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.8% · 2-1 8.6% · 1-2 8.2% · 1-0 7.1% · 0-0 6.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Lyon: another match 3d before (2026-11-05).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Stade Brestois 29
- Both teams scored in 5 of Stade Brestois 29's last 6 home league games.
Players in form
- E. Selvik has made 21 saves in 9 league games this season.
- K. Doumbia has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- L. Ajorque has scored 4 goals in 9 league games this season.
- D. Greif has made 33 saves in 10 league games this season.
- E. Nuamah has scored 4 goals in 10 league games this season.
- Z. Athekame has 2 goals and 3 assists in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Stade Brestois 29
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | W | 2-0 | Lorient (A) | 1.2 - 1.7 |
| 23 Oct | L | 1-2 | Nice (H) | 2.5 - 0.5 |
| 17 Oct | D | 1-1 | Lille (A) | 0.8 - 1.9 |
| 10 Oct | W | 5-1 | Angers (H) | 3.8 - 1.4 |
| 20 Sep | L | 1-2 | Auxerre (A) | 0.3 - 1.0 |
| 13 Sep | L | 0-1 | Paris Saint Germain (H) | 1.2 - 1.2 |
Lyon
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 2-0 | Angers (H) | 2.0 - 0.4 |
| 26 Oct | L | 0-2 | Paris Saint Germain (A) | 0.7 - 1.0 |
| 22 Oct | L | 0-3 | 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 0.7 - 2.1 |
| 18 Oct | W | 2-1 | Nice (H) | 1.6 - 1.6 |
| 15 Oct | W | 3-2 | Crystal Palace (H) | 1.8 - 1.6 |
| 09 Oct | L | 1-2 | Lens (A) | 1.0 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Stade Brestois 29
+0.50
xG diff/game · 1.78 for, 1.28 against
Lyon
+0.38
xG diff/game · 1.50 for, 1.11 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 1.125 | 14–12 | LDWLL |
| Lyon | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 1.889 | 15–7 | WLWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | home | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 2.0 / 1.5 | 0 |
| Lyon | away | Ligue 1 | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Stade Brestois 29 3 wins, 3 draws, Lyon 4 wins — 2.8 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 26 | Lyon | 2-1 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 02 Nov 25 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0-0 | Lyon |