Fixture · Eredivisie · Sun 08 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT
Utrecht
v NEC Nijmegen
The model's read
Utrecht
34%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
NEC Nijmegen
41%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Utrecht or draw | 59.2% |
| Double chance NEC Nijmegen or draw | 65.6% |
| Double chance either team | 75.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.7% |
| Both teams to score | 66.7% |
| Utrecht over 1.5 team goals | 47.2% |
| NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 team goals | 52.0% |
| Utrecht clean sheet | 17.5% |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 20.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.9% · 1-2 8.6% · 2-1 7.9% · 2-2 6.9% · 0-2 5.4%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Utrecht
- Both teams have scored in each of Utrecht's last 4 league games.
- Utrecht have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
NEC Nijmegen
- NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last 8 league games (D5 L3).
- NEC Nijmegen have conceded in each of their last 8 league games.
Recent form
Utrecht
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 2-4 | Telstar (A) | 1.3 - 2.5 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | PEC Zwolle (H) | 1.7 - 0.9 |
| 18 Oct | W | 2-1 | Twente (A) | 1.2 - 1.4 |
| 11 Oct | W | 3-1 | Willem II (H) | 1.4 - 0.7 |
| 20 Sep | L | 0-5 | Feyenoord (A) | 0.6 - 3.4 |
| 13 Sep | W | 2-1 | Excelsior (A) | 1.4 - 0.6 |
NEC Nijmegen
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-1 | Heerenveen (A) | 1.2 - 1.5 |
| 25 Oct | D | 2-2 | Groningen (H) | 1.9 - 1.5 |
| 22 Oct | W | 4-2 | Dinamo Zagreb (A) | 1.2 - 2.6 |
| 18 Oct | D | 2-2 | Fortuna Sittard (H) | 3.1 - 0.5 |
| 15 Oct | D | 1-1 | Levski Sofia (H) | 2.2 - 1.3 |
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Ajax (A) | 1.1 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Utrecht
-0.17
xG diff/game · 1.44 for, 1.61 against
NEC Nijmegen
-0.28
xG diff/game · 1.42 for, 1.70 against
Head to head
No meetings on record.