Picks · strand · season 2026/27

Daily BTTS

Nothing on this page is a bet, and nothing here is advice. Every pick is chosen by the rule below, logged before kick-off, settled in public. Stakes are an imaginary £10; £0 has ever been staked. Three seasons of our own testing found no betting profit; the fair expectation for this strand is a paper loss over time. That expectation, printed here, is the point.

Record

18-19-0

won-lost-push/void

Paper P/L

£-4.42

imaginary £10 a pick, £0 staked

CLV

+0.8%

beat the close 62% of 37

Run

0 / 6

current / best this season

The rule, in full

One both-teams-to-score call a day, yes or no, whichever side the model rates: the highest-edge pick-test passer in the BTTS market with a future kick-off. One per kick-off date; none when nothing qualifies.

The exit rule (every live strand, printed 17 Oct 2026): over its last 30 settled picks logged since 17 Oct 2026, beat the closing price under 40% of the time with an average CLV below zero and it retires at the next Monday review. Rolling. Win or retire — the run it is on has nothing to do with it.
Where it stands: Collecting: 10 of the 30 settled picks since 17 Oct 2026 are in. Nothing can be judged yet.

The curve, honestly

Cumulative paper P/L at the imaginary £10, every settled pick, losses in. It stays up when it falls.

Open

Open pick (2026-11-03): Portsmouth v Swansea — at least one side not scoring @ 2.17. Settles after full-time.

Open pick (2026-11-04): Wrexham v Middlesbrough — at least one side not scoring @ 2.23. Settles after full-time.

Every settled pick

37 settled · wins and losses alike · nothing removed.

Day	Fixture	Pick	Odds	Result	Score	CLV
2026-11-02	Sassuolo v Fiorentina	at least one side not scoring	2.54	LOST	2-4	-1.9%
2026-11-01	Getafe v Sevilla	at least one side not scoring	1.64	LOST	3-1	-0.2%
2026-10-31	Middlesbrough v Charlton	at least one side not scoring	1.98	WON	3-0	+1.1%
2026-10-30	Villarreal v Espanyol	at least one side not scoring	2.13	WON	0-1	-5.8%
2026-10-28	Genoa v Juventus	at least one side not scoring	1.77	WON	2-0	+7.3%
2026-10-26	Paris Saint Germain v Lyon	at least one side not scoring	2.41	WON	2-0	+7.8%
2026-10-25	Real Sociedad v Levante	both teams scoring	1.61	WON	2-1	+6.1%
2026-10-24	Chelsea v Tottenham	at least one side not scoring	2.37	WON	0-2	-4.4%
2026-10-23	Alaves v Malaga	at least one side not scoring	1.83	LOST	1-1	+2.6%
2026-10-19	Parma v Torino	at least one side not scoring	1.79	WON	0-3	+3.3%
2026-10-18	Nottingham Forest v Arsenal	both teams scoring	1.90	LOST	0-1	+2.8%
2026-10-17	Norwich v Portsmouth	at least one side not scoring	2.21	WON	0-1	+4.7%
2026-10-16	Le Mans v Toulouse	both teams scoring	1.60	LOST	0-3	+5.4%
2026-10-14	Portsmouth v Sheffield Utd	at least one side not scoring	2.02	LOST	3-2	-0.1%
2026-10-13	Birmingham v Preston	both teams scoring	1.72	LOST	4-0	-4.8%
2026-10-12	Torino v Udinese	both teams scoring	1.86	WON	2-1	+0.0%
2026-10-11	Real Betis v Osasuna	both teams scoring	1.80	WON	5-2	+2.2%
2026-10-10	Sunderland v Brighton	both teams scoring	1.62	LOST	0-2	+0.1%
2026-09-20	Bournemouth v Liverpool	at least one side not scoring	2.72	WON	0-1	+2.8%
2026-09-19	Eintracht Frankfurt v SC Freiburg	at least one side not scoring	2.81	LOST	2-2	+3.7%
2026-09-15	Bristol City v Lincoln	both teams scoring	1.84	LOST	0-1	+0.0%
2026-09-14	Villarreal v Real Betis	at least one side not scoring	2.41	LOST	1-2	-3.5%
2026-09-13	RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV	both teams scoring	1.61	LOST	5-0	+6.0%
2026-09-12	Bolton v Cardiff	at least one side not scoring	2.45	WON	1-0	-7.3%
2026-09-07	Getafe v Celta Vigo	both teams scoring	2.22	WON	1-1	-5.8%
2026-09-06	Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05	both teams scoring	1.55	LOST	0-5	-6.4%
2026-09-05	Lens v Lorient	both teams scoring	1.78	LOST	0-1	+4.7%
2026-08-30	Paris FC v Nice	both teams scoring	1.84	LOST	3-0	+2.3%
2026-08-29	Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV	both teams scoring	1.80	LOST	2-0	+5.4%
2026-08-28	Crystal Palace v Manchester City	both teams scoring	1.68	WON	1-4	+1.4%
2026-08-27	Celta Vigo v Osasuna	both teams scoring	2.00	WON	1-2	+0.9%
2026-08-24	AS Roma v Fiorentina	both teams scoring	1.89	LOST	4-0	+2.1%
2026-08-23	Torino v AC Milan	both teams scoring	1.78	WON	1-2	-7.1%
2026-08-22	Udinese v Como	both teams scoring	1.97	WON	1-1	+2.0%
2026-08-21	Marseille v Strasbourg	both teams scoring	1.52	LOST	4-0	-0.2%
2026-08-16	Espanyol v Levante	both teams scoring	1.92	LOST	3-0	+1.5%
2026-08-15	Stoke City v Swansea	both teams scoring	1.81	WON	1-2	+1.7%

All strands side by side, dead ones included: the picks page. Why strands get added and retired: model changes. The credibility check behind every number: calibration.