Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.37–1.16.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.4–1.2, shots 22–11 with 7–5 on target. Karlsruher SC got into the box far more often (11 shots inside it to 8). On chances created the game was tighter than the 2–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Karlsruher SC or draw | 1.54 | 60.7% |
| Double chance Arminia Bielefeld or draw | 1.45 | 64.6% |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 74.8% |
| Draw no bet — Karlsruher SC | 1.95 | 47.7% |
| Draw no bet — Arminia Bielefeld | 1.77 | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 60.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.34 | 40.0% |
| Both teams to score | 1.45 | 63.8% |
| Karlsruher SC over 1.5 team goals | 2.03 | 45.9% |
| Arminia Bielefeld over 1.5 team goals | 1.91 | 48.8% |
| Karlsruher SC clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% |
| Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.91 · 1-2 8.73 · 2-1 9.33 · 2-2 10.31 · 0-1 10.83
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-08 13:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov 25 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4-0 | Karlsruher SC |