FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 08 Aug 2026, 19:30 UTC

VfL Wolfsburg 00 1. FC Kaiserslautern

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What the chances were worth

VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
expected goals (xG)
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0.86
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.26–0.86.

The brain read

VfL Wolfsburg created the better chances — the xG read 1.3–0.9 and the shot count agreed (19–8, 5–3 on target). VfL Wolfsburg held 63% of the ball. VfL Wolfsburg's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.3 xG despite 5 of 19 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created VfL Wolfsburg shaded the game.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
63%
Ball Possession
37%
19
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots off Goal
5
4
Blocked Shots
0
6
Shots inside box
6
13
Shots outside box
2
1.26
Expected goals (xG)
0.86
9
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
566
Total passes
329
481
Passes accurate
247
85%
Passes %
75%
17
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1.04
Goals prevented
1.04

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

VfL Wolfsburg
60%
market implied · price 1.56
Draw
22%
market implied · price 4.27
1. FC Kaiserslautern
19%
market implied · price 5.03
MarketConsensus priceImplied chance
Double chance VfL Wolfsburg or draw1.1681.1%
Double chance 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw2.3340.1%
Double chance either team1.1978.8%
Draw no bet — VfL Wolfsburg1.2275.8%
Draw no bet — 1. FC Kaiserslautern3.8124.2%
Over 1.5 goals1.1283.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.4464.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.1044.6%
Both teams to score1.5061.7%
VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 team goals1.4464.9%
1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 team goals2.7833.4%
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet3.0031.2%
1. FC Kaiserslautern clean sheet8.0011.9%

Shortest-priced scorelines: 2-1 7.71 · 1-1 8.26 · 2-0 9.25 · 1-0 9.63 · 3-1 10.30

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.