Energie Cottbus 3–1 Hannover 96
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.38–2.73.
The brain read
Hannover 96 created the better chances — the xG read 1.4–2.7 and the shot count agreed (12–25, 4–10 on target). Hannover 96 got into the box far more often (18 shots inside it to 7). Energie Cottbus's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.4 xG, 4 of 12 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 3–1 flatters Energie Cottbus — on chances created, Hannover 96 shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Energie Cottbus or draw | 1.69 | 55.5% |
| Double chance Hannover 96 or draw | 1.33 | 70.2% |
| Double chance either team | 1.26 | 74.3% |
| Draw no bet — Energie Cottbus | 2.30 | 40.3% |
| Draw no bet — Hannover 96 | 1.56 | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 60.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 39.6% |
| Both teams to score | 1.48 | 62.9% |
| Energie Cottbus over 1.5 team goals | 2.25 | 41.3% |
| Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals | 1.78 | 52.3% |
| Energie Cottbus clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.91 · 1-2 8.15 · 0-1 9.89 · 2-1 10.12 · 2-2 10.51
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-09 14:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off.