FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 15 Aug 2026, 19:30 UTC

1. FC Kaiserslautern 00 Karlsruher SC

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What the chances were worth

1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.05
expected goals (xG)
Karlsruher SC
0.75
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.05–0.75.

The brain read

Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.1–0.8, shots 11–13 with 3–8 on target. 1. FC Kaiserslautern got into the box far more often (8 shots inside it to 5). 1. FC Kaiserslautern's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.1 xG despite 3 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A 0–0 draw the numbers agree with.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

1. FC Kaiserslautern
Karlsruher SC
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
8
6
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
0
8
Shots inside box
5
3
Shots outside box
8
1.05
Expected goals (xG)
0.75
4
Corner Kicks
11
1
Offsides
1
378
Total passes
363
290
Passes accurate
286
77%
Passes %
79%
12
Fouls
19
3
Yellow Cards
3
8
Goalkeeper Saves
2
0.20
Goals prevented
0.20

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

1. FC Kaiserslautern
47%
market implied · price 1.99 · opened 50%
Draw
25%
market implied · price 3.78 · opened 24%
Karlsruher SC
28%
market implied · price 3.36 · opened 26%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw1.3072.0%-1.7 pts
Double chance Karlsruher SC or draw1.7852.4%+2.7 pts
Double chance either team1.2475.6%-1.0 pts
Draw no bet — 1. FC Kaiserslautern1.4663.3%-1.5 pts
Draw no bet — Karlsruher SC2.5236.7%+1.5 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.1581.2%-0.6 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.5261.1%-0.8 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.3340.1%-1.1 pts
Both teams to score1.4862.7%-0.0 pts
1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 team goals1.7054.9%-2.0 pts
Karlsruher SC over 1.5 team goals2.3339.9%+0.8 pts
1. FC Kaiserslautern clean sheet3.5026.8%-0.9 pts
Karlsruher SC clean sheet5.5017.2%+1.4 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.22 · 2-1 8.04 · 1-0 10.05 · 2-2 10.53 · 1-2 10.76

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-15 20:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Mar 261. FC Kaiserslautern3-0Karlsruher SC
18 Oct 25Karlsruher SC2-31. FC Kaiserslautern