Burgos 3–2 Cordoba
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.64–2.30.
The brain read
Cordoba created the better chances — the xG read 1.6–2.3 and the shot count agreed (13–18, 5–8 on target). Burgos's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.6 xG, 5 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 3–2 flatters Burgos — on chances created, Cordoba shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Burgos or draw | 1.33 | 70.4% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance Cordoba or draw | 1.59 | 59.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.32 | 70.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burgos | 1.60 | 58.1% | +0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cordoba | 2.22 | 41.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 69.1% | +1.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 44.2% | +1.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.84 | 24.3% | +1.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.84 | 50.3% | +0.6 pts |
| Burgos over 1.5 team goals | 2.39 | 39.0% | +1.2 pts |
| Cordoba over 1.5 team goals | 3.03 | 30.6% | +0.6 pts |
| Burgos clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Cordoba clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +1.4 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.56 · 1-0 6.35 · 0-0 7.83 · 0-1 7.92 · 2-1 8.39
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-16 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 26 | Burgos | 4-0 | Cordoba |
| 03 Jan 26 | Cordoba | 2-0 | Burgos |