Burnley 2–2 West Ham
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 2.10–1.21.
The brain read
Burnley created the better chances — the xG read 2.1–1.2 and the shot count agreed (18–11, 5–2 on target). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Burnley shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Burnley or draw | 1.66 | 56.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Double chance West Ham or draw | 1.33 | 70.4% | +3.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burnley | 2.30 | 40.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — West Ham | 1.57 | 59.4% | +3.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 75.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 53.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 32.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.61 | 58.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Burnley over 1.5 team goals | 2.55 | 36.6% | -2.8 pts |
| West Ham over 1.5 team goals | 1.99 | 46.9% | +1.1 pts |
| Burnley clean sheet | 4.17 | 22.4% | +0.0 pts |
| West Ham clean sheet | 3.23 | 29.0% | +2.3 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.30 · 1-2 8.12 · 0-1 8.28 · 2-1 10.21 · 1-0 10.58
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-16 17:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 26 | Burnley | 0-2 | West Ham |
| 08 Nov 25 | West Ham | 3-2 | Burnley |