Dynamo Dresden 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.64–0.38.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.6–0.4, shots 12–10 with 6–1 on target. Dynamo Dresden held 62% of the ball. On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dynamo Dresden or draw | 1.30 | 72.0% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance SV Darmstadt 98 or draw | 1.76 | 53.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.0% | +0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dynamo Dresden | 1.47 | 62.8% | +3.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.48 | 37.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 80.0% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.59 | 59.0% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.43 | 38.3% | +0.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.51 | 61.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 team goals | 1.76 | 53.1% | +1.6 pts |
| SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 team goals | 2.43 | 38.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Dynamo Dresden clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +0.0 pts |
| SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.77 · 2-1 8.04 · 1-0 9.26 · 1-2 10.59 · 2-0 10.91
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-16 13:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 26 | Dynamo Dresden | 3-1 | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 26 Sep 25 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2-0 | Dynamo Dresden |