FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Fixture · La Liga · Sun 16 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC

Espanyol
v Levante

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The model's read

Espanyol
34%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Levante
39%
match result
MarketModel probability
Double chance Espanyol or draw61.3%
Double chance Levante or draw65.8%
Double chance either team73.0%
Over 1.5 goals79.8%
Over 2.5 goals55.5%
Over 3.5 goals33.2%
Both teams to score59.8%
Espanyol over 1.5 team goals40.9%
Levante over 1.5 team goals44.3%
Espanyol clean sheet22.2%
Levante clean sheet24.6%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.7% · 1-2 8.7% · 2-1 8.1% · 0-1 7.1% · 0-0 6.6%

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

Recent form — Espanyol

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
23 MayD1-1Real Sociedad (H)2.4 - 1.4
17 MayW2-1Osasuna (A)0.8 - 1.7
13 MayW2-0Athletic Club (H)0.8 - 0.8
09 MayL1-2Sevilla (A)0.6 - 1.4
03 MayL0-2Real Madrid (H)1.2 - 2.1
27 AprD0-0Levante (H)0.6 - 1.0

Recent form — Levante

DateRScoreOpponentxG for-against
23 MayL1-2Real Betis (A)2.3 - 1.5
17 MayW2-0Mallorca (H)2.4 - 0.3
12 MayW3-2Celta Vigo (A)1.5 - 2.2
08 MayW3-2Osasuna (H)3.2 - 0.6
02 MayL1-5Villarreal (A)0.8 - 2.4
27 AprD0-0Espanyol (A)1.0 - 0.6

Chance quality, most recent season

Espanyol
-0.16
xG diff/game · 1.28 for, 1.43 against
Levante
-0.21
xG diff/game · 1.38 for, 1.59 against

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Apr 26Espanyol0-0Levante
11 Jan 26Levante1-1Espanyol