Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.25–1.71.
The brain read
VfL Wolfsburg created the better chances — the xG read 1.2–1.7 and the shot count agreed (14–18, 2–7 on target). Hannover 96's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.2 xG despite 2 of 14 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 0–1 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Hannover 96 or draw | 1.41 | 66.1% | +3.2 pts |
| Double chance VfL Wolfsburg or draw | 1.56 | 60.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.26 | 73.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hannover 96 | 1.74 | 53.6% | +3.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — VfL Wolfsburg | 2.01 | 46.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 81.3% | +3.5 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 61.0% | +4.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 40.8% | +4.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 | 64.3% | +3.6 pts |
| Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals | 1.86 | 50.0% | +5.9 pts |
| VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 team goals | 2.06 | 45.3% | +1.0 pts |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +0.0 pts |
| VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -2.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.90 · 2-1 8.63 · 1-2 9.40 · 2-2 10.13 · 1-0 10.74
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-16 13:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).