Las Palmas 2–1 Albacete
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.18–1.53.
The brain read
Albacete created the better chances — the xG read 1.2–1.5, with the shot count roughly even (12–12, 4–4 on target). Las Palmas held 66% of the ball. Las Palmas's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1.2 xG, 4 of 12 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 2–1 flatters Las Palmas — on chances created, Albacete shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Las Palmas or draw | 1.19 | 78.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Double chance Albacete or draw | 1.98 | 47.1% | +4.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.26 | 74.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Las Palmas | 1.30 | 71.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Albacete | 3.24 | 28.7% | +3.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 72.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 48.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.28 | 28.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 | 51.2% | +0.7 pts |
| Las Palmas over 1.5 team goals | 1.88 | 49.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Albacete over 1.5 team goals | 3.54 | 26.2% | +2.2 pts |
| Las Palmas clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Albacete clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | +1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.20 · 1-0 6.22 · 2-1 7.42 · 2-0 7.58 · 0-0 9.21
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-16 21:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 26 | Albacete | 2-1 | Las Palmas |
| 21 Nov 25 | Las Palmas | 2-1 | Albacete |