| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Watford or draw | 57.2% |
| Double chance Southampton or draw | 70.9% |
| Double chance either team | 71.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Watford over 1.5 team goals | 33.1% |
| Southampton over 1.5 team goals | 43.5% |
| Watford clean sheet | 22.8% |
| Southampton clean sheet | 30.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 13.4% · 0-1 9.1% · 1-2 9.0% · 0-0 8.2% · 0-2 7.6%
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | L | 0-4 | Coventry (H) | 1.7 - 1.4 |
| 25 Apr | L | 1-5 | Middlesbrough (A) | 0.8 - 2.3 |
| 21 Apr | L | 0-3 | West Brom (A) | 0.6 - 1.5 |
| 18 Apr | L | 0-2 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 1.3 - 0.8 |
| 11 Apr | L | 0-2 | Oxford United (A) | 0.8 - 1.9 |
| 06 Apr | D | 1-1 | Charlton (H) | 1.3 - 2.1 |
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | W | 2-1 | Middlesbrough (H) | 2.0 - 1.0 |
| 09 May | D | 0-0 | Middlesbrough (A) | 0.6 - 1.8 |
| 02 May | W | 3-1 | Preston (A) | 2.4 - 1.9 |
| 28 Apr | D | 2-2 | Ipswich (H) | 1.0 - 1.9 |
| 21 Apr | D | 2-2 | Bristol City (H) | 2.0 - 0.7 |
| 18 Apr | W | 2-1 | Swansea (A) | 1.2 - 1.2 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 26 | Southampton | 1-0 | Watford |
| 30 Aug 25 | Watford | 2-2 | Southampton |