Sudtirol 1–0 Virtus Entella
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.70–0.43.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.7–0.4, shots 5–12 with 1–3 on target. Virtus Entella got into the box far more often (8 shots inside it to 3). On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sudtirol or draw | 1.23 | 76.0% | +0.6 pts |
| Double chance Virtus Entella or draw | 1.72 | 54.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 69.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sudtirol | 1.42 | 65.2% | +0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Virtus Entella | 2.66 | 34.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.47 | 63.7% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 37.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.79 | 19.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.09 | 44.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Sudtirol over 1.5 team goals | 2.44 | 38.3% | +0.3 pts |
| Virtus Entella over 1.5 team goals | 4.07 | 22.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Sudtirol clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.51 · 1-1 5.77 · 0-0 6.53 · 0-1 8.24 · 2-0 8.34
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-22 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 26 | Sudtirol | 0-1 | Virtus Entella |
| 21 Dec 25 | Virtus Entella | 1-1 | Sudtirol |