Virtus Entella 1–2 Cesena
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.67–0.47.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.7–0.5, shots 14–7 with 3–3 on target. Cesena's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.5 xG, 3 of 7 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–2 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Virtus Entella 3-5-2
- 5 N. Squizzato (M)
- 6 A. Tiritiello (D)
- 8 L. Vignali (M)
- 11 Bernat Guiu (F)
- 22 F. Del Frate (G)
- 23 L. Parodi (D)
- 24 A. Franzoni (M)
- 32 F. Forte (M)
Bench: L. Benedetti, T. Annoni, S. Colombi, Giacomo Corona, L. Cuppone, Lucas Felippe, I. Marconi, N. Previtali, E. Torrielli, M. Valori, M. Motolese
Cesena 4-2-3-1
- 1 A. Siano (G)
- 6 M. Ilić (D)
- 9 C. Shpendi (F)
- 10 R. Pagano (M)
- 14 X. Druiventak (M)
- 15 A. Ciofi (D)
- 18 Matteo Guidi (M)
- 24 M. Mangraviti (D)
- 25 D. Bisoli (M)
- 80 A. Fiori (M)
Bench: Filippo Bertaccini, Matteo Casadei, L. D'Andrea
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Virtus Entella or draw | 1.26 | 74.6% | +2.8 pts |
| Double chance Cesena or draw | 1.72 | 54.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Virtus Entella | 1.46 | 63.6% | +3.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cesena | 2.55 | 36.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 70.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.09 | 45.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.68 | 25.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.84 | 50.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Virtus Entella over 1.5 team goals | 2.18 | 42.9% | +1.2 pts |
| Cesena over 1.5 team goals | 3.28 | 28.4% | -2.4 pts |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | +2.0 pts |
| Cesena clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.79 · 1-0 6.48 · 2-1 8.07 · 0-0 8.18 · 2-0 9.18
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-29 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 26 | Virtus Entella | 3-1 | Cesena |
| 30 Aug 25 | Cesena | 1-1 | Virtus Entella |