Sheffield Utd 3–2 Bolton
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–2; by chance quality the match ran 2.21–1.91.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 2.2–1.9, shots 13–18 with 5–6 on target. Bolton got into the box far more often (14 shots inside it to 9). On chances created the game was tighter than the 3–2 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sheffield Utd or draw | 1.16 | 80.9% | +0.1 pts |
| Double chance Bolton or draw | 2.21 | 42.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.23 | 76.6% | +0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sheffield Utd | 1.24 | 74.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Bolton | 3.64 | 25.4% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 76.1% | +0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 53.8% | +0.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.83 | 33.1% | +0.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.74 | 53.4% | +0.8 pts |
| Sheffield Utd over 1.5 team goals | 1.68 | 55.6% | +0.6 pts |
| Bolton over 1.5 team goals | 3.52 | 26.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | +0.7 pts |
| Bolton clean sheet | 5.62 | 16.6% | -1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 7.00 · 1-1 7.05 · 2-1 7.51 · 2-0 7.77 · 0-0 11.35
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-01 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).