West Ham 4–2 Wolves
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 4–2; by chance quality the match ran 2.05–0.94.
The brain read
West Ham created the better chances — the xG read 2–0.9, with the shot count roughly even (12–18, 6–3 on target). West Ham's finishing ran hot — 4 from 2 xG, 6 of 12 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 4–2 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance West Ham or draw | 1.29 | 72.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Double chance Wolves or draw | 1.72 | 54.2% | +3.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — West Ham | 1.51 | 61.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Wolves | 2.43 | 38.2% | +4.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 77.0% | +1.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 56.9% | +4.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 36.1% | +3.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 60.1% | +4.4 pts |
| West Ham over 1.5 team goals | 1.84 | 50.8% | +0.9 pts |
| Wolves over 1.5 team goals | 2.49 | 37.5% | +5.4 pts |
| West Ham clean sheet | 3.30 | 28.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Wolves clean sheet | 5.00 | 18.8% | -1.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.59 · 2-1 8.12 · 1-0 8.77 · 2-0 10.63 · 1-2 10.78
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-01 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 26 | West Ham | 4-0 | Wolves |
| 03 Jan 26 | Wolves | 3-0 | West Ham |