1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–0; by chance quality the match ran 2.63–1.04.
The brain read
1. FC Kaiserslautern created the better chances — the xG read 2.6–1 and the shot count agreed (21–9, 7–2 on target). 1. FC Kaiserslautern got into the box far more often (13 shots inside it to 6). SV Darmstadt 98's finishing let them down — 0 from 1 xG despite 2 of 9 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 3–0 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-2-1
- 1 J. Krahl (G)
- 4 M. Gyamfi (D)
- 6 F. Kunze (M)
- 7 M. Ritter (M)
- 8 S. Şahin (M)
- 14 J. Rasmussen (D)
- 21 M. Sauer (M)
- 22 Mika Haas (M)
- 26 P. Joly (M)
- 33 J. Elvedi (D)
- 39 T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta (F)
Bench: S. Asta, M. Berisha, Kelven Olagie Frees, E. Kamga, I. Kanate, A. Murphy, Leon Robinson, D. Schramm, E. Yardımcı
SV Darmstadt 98 4-2-3-1
- 1 M. Schuhen (G)
- 6 P. Pfeiffer (D)
- 7 N. Weißhaupt (M)
- 16 H. Akiyama (M)
- 17 K. Klefisch (M)
- 18 R. Petretta (D)
- 22 L. Kehl (M)
- 28 C. Lannert (D)
- 36 M. Smit (F)
- 41 L. Duijvestijn (M)
- 49 Y. Lührs (D)
Bench: Grayson Dettoni, I. El Kadiri, Y. Furukawa, F. Kleinhansl, W. Mikelbrencis, C. Sickinger, N. Verkooijen, Lee Ho-Jae, A. Brunst
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw | 1.35 | 69.6% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance SV Darmstadt 98 or draw | 1.66 | 56.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.59 | 58.5% | +1.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.23 | 41.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 78.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 56.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 35.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 59.7% | -1.7 pts |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 team goals | 1.91 | 49.1% | -0.3 pts |
| SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 team goals | 2.42 | 38.9% | -2.7 pts |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
| SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.79 · 2-1 8.48 · 1-0 9.44 · 1-2 10.55 · 2-0 11.35
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 10:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 26 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4-0 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
| 31 Aug 25 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3-1 | SV Darmstadt 98 |