FC Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern München
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.21–1.94.
The brain read
Bayern München created the better chances — the xG read 0.2–1.9 and the shot count agreed (4–15, 1–5 on target). Bayern München got into the box far more often (10 shots inside it to 3) and Bayern München held 83% of the ball. Bayern München's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.9 xG despite 5 of 15 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Bayern München shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
FC Schalke 04 3-4-2-1
- 1 L. Karius (G)
- 4 H. Kuruçay (D)
- 5 T. Becker (D)
- 8 R. Gosens (M)
- 9 M. Sylla (F)
- 13 S. Tanaka (M)
- 21 D. Ljubičić (M)
- 23 S. El-Faouzi (M)
- 24 A. Aouchiche (M)
- 25 N. Katić (D)
- 29 J. Dina Ebimbe (M)
Bench: K. Karaman, K. Müller, L. Vozar, M. Wöber, J. Adamu, M. Ayhan, J. Bachmann, Vitalie Becker, E. Džeko
Bayern München
- 1 M. Neuer (G)
- 2 D. Upamecano (D)
- 4 J. Tah (D)
- 6 J. Kimmich (M)
- 11 N. Brown (M)
- 14 L. Díaz (M)
- 19 A. Davies (D)
- 27 K. Laimer (D)
- 34 I. Saibari (F)
- 42 L. Karl (M)
- 45 A. Pavlović (M)
Bench: H. Kane, Kim Min-Jae, J. Musiala, M. Olise, Bara Ndiaye, J. Stanišić, J. Urbig, T. Bischof, H. Ito
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance FC Schalke 04 or draw | 5.22 | 18.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Bayern München or draw | 1.04 | 92.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.08 | 88.9% | +0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — FC Schalke 04 | 11.00 | 8.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Bayern München | 1.04 | 91.4% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.03 | 90.2% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.20 | 78.7% | +2.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.56 | 60.7% | +2.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.66 | 56.1% | +2.0 pts |
| FC Schalke 04 over 1.5 team goals | 4.05 | 23.3% | +1.7 pts |
| Bayern München over 1.5 team goals | 1.13 | 82.8% | +1.7 pts |
| FC Schalke 04 clean sheet | 21.00 | 4.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | -1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 0-3 8.68 · 0-2 9.48 · 1-3 9.62 · 0-4 10.17 · 1-2 10.25
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).