Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.92–1.86.
The brain read
The xG read 0.9–1.9 in St. Louis City's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 16–10 overall and 3–4 on target went Portland Timbers's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests. Portland Timbers's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.9 xG, 3 of 16 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement).
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.