Pisa 1–4 Virtus Entella
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Pisa carried the greater threat — shots 14–14, 6–4 on target, 8–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Pisa 3-4-2-1
- 3 S. Angori (M)
- 5 S. Canestrelli (D)
- 7 M. Léris (M)
- 10 M. Tramoni (M)
- 21 İ. Vural (M)
- 26 F. Coppola (D)
- 29 O. Correia (M)
- 33 A. Calabresi (D)
- 37 A. Petagna (F)
- 55 G. Leone (M)
- 98 A. Confente (G)
Bench: E. Rao, S. Scuffet, L. Loria, D. Denoon, A. Caracciolo, I. Ferrah, G. Piccinini, F. Loyola, S. Zanon, F. Pittarello, S. Moreo, A. Primasso
Virtus Entella 3-5-2
- 5 N. Squizzato (M)
- 8 L. Vignali (M)
- 10 L. Cuppone (F)
- 11 Bernat Guiu (F)
- 15 I. Marconi (D)
- 22 F. Del Frate (G)
- 23 L. Parodi (D)
- 24 A. Franzoni (M)
- 26 Stefano Di Mario (M)
- 27 M. Alborghetti (D)
- 80 L. Benedetti (M)
Bench: A. Tiritiello, R. Turicchia, F. Forte, Giacomo Corona, S. Colombi, T. Annoni, Lucas Felippe, Marwane Kritta, N. Previtali, M. Tirelli, E. Torrielli, M. Motolese
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Pisa or draw | 1.17 | 80.0% | +0.7 pts |
| Double chance Virtus Entella or draw | 1.97 | 47.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.5% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Pisa | 1.29 | 72.2% | +1.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Virtus Entella | 3.35 | 27.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 70.0% | +4.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 45.6% | +4.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.63 | 25.5% | +3.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.93 | 48.1% | +2.8 pts |
| Pisa over 1.5 team goals | 1.97 | 47.9% | +4.2 pts |
| Virtus Entella over 1.5 team goals | 4.18 | 22.4% | +0.7 pts |
| Pisa clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +2.1 pts |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | -3.3 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.99 · 1-1 6.25 · 2-0 7.58 · 0-0 8.10 · 2-1 8.26
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).