SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 12–16, 6–4 on target, 9–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
SV Darmstadt 98 4-4-2
- 1 M. Schuhen (G)
- 5 M. Richter (M)
- 6 P. Pfeiffer (D)
- 7 N. Weißhaupt (M)
- 9 Lee Ho-Jae (F)
- 17 K. Klefisch (M)
- 18 R. Petretta (D)
- 23 C. Sickinger (M)
- 28 C. Lannert (D)
- 36 M. Smit (F)
- 49 Y. Lührs (D)
Bench: Benedikt Börner, Grayson Dettoni, L. Duijvestijn, I. El Kadiri, Y. Furukawa, L. Kehl, F. Kleinhansl, W. Mikelbrencis, N. Verkooijen
Arminia Bielefeld 4-3-3
- 1 J. Kersken (G)
- 5 M. Bauer (D)
- 6 M. Mehlem (M)
- 7 H. Koudossou (D)
- 10 J. Rochelt (F)
- 11 J. Grodowski (F)
- 14 M. Momuluh (F)
- 17 A. Sicker (D)
- 19 M. Großer (D)
- 21 S. Russo (M)
- 38 M. Wörl (M)
Bench: Benjamin Bediako Boakye, J. Felix, T. Handwerker, L. Jensen, D. Min, L. Oppermann, S. Schreck, T. Wegener, I. Young
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance SV Darmstadt 98 or draw | 1.64 | 57.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Double chance Arminia Bielefeld or draw | 1.36 | 69.0% | +3.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.20 | 42.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Arminia Bielefeld | 1.61 | 57.7% | +4.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 80.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 58.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 38.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.49 | 62.2% | -0.5 pts |
| SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 team goals | 2.27 | 41.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Arminia Bielefeld over 1.5 team goals | 1.89 | 49.7% | +1.8 pts |
| SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +1.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.81 · 1-2 8.70 · 2-1 10.25 · 0-1 10.25 · 2-2 10.80
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov 25 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2-2 | Arminia Bielefeld |