VfL Bochum 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 16–18, 5–6 on target, 11–12 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
VfL Bochum 4-2-3-1
- 1 T. Horn (G)
- 2 S. Klaiber (D)
- 5 K. Mets (D)
- 7 C. Rasmussen (M)
- 15 M. Steinwender (D)
- 17 G. Holtmann (M)
- 23 K. Miyoshi (M)
- 24 M. Pannewig (M)
- 32 M. Wittek (D)
- 33 P. Hofmann (F)
- 34 T. Meyer (M)
Bench: Alessandro Crimaldi, D. Hanslik, L. Isbruch, Y. Karademir, C. Patino, B. Taz, J. Steuckers, L. Sawas, Hugo Johannes Walter Rölleke
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-4-2
- 1 Florian Hellstern (G)
- 2 Lukas Reich (D)
- 6 S. Bansé (M)
- 9 J. Siebatcheu (F)
- 10 Ole Pohlmann (M)
- 13 P. Will (M)
- 22 J. Heuer (D)
- 27 G. Itter (D)
- 29 K. Keresztes (D)
- 30 F. Klaus (F)
- 37 F. Ademi (M)
Bench: D. Arifi, Elias Benkara, Hendry Aron Blank, J. Dehm, A. Keller, Silas Joel Prüfrock, O. Sillah, D. Srbeny, Olgherto Balliu
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance VfL Bochum or draw | 1.27 | 74.1% | +3.5 pts |
| Double chance SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw | 1.85 | 50.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — VfL Bochum | 1.42 | 65.5% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2.68 | 34.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 80.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 59.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 38.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 | 60.7% | -1.3 pts |
| VfL Bochum over 1.5 team goals | 1.72 | 54.7% | -1.0 pts |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 team goals | 2.53 | 37.1% | -4.0 pts |
| VfL Bochum clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.21 · 2-1 8.11 · 1-0 9.33 · 2-0 10.61 · 2-2 11.60
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 10:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 25 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 0-3 | VfL Bochum |