Karlsruher SC 0–3 Energie Cottbus
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Energie Cottbus carried the greater threat — shots 20–25, 5–10 on target, 17–13 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Karlsruher SC 4-2-3-1
- 1 H. Bernat (G)
- 2 S. Jung (D)
- 10 M. Wanitzek (M)
- 11 N. Eichinger (M)
- 13 S. Fukuda (F)
- 19 Louey Ben Farhat (M)
- 22 C. Kobald (D)
- 23 T. Civeja (M)
- 26 D. H. Zor (M)
- 28 M. Franke (D)
- 36 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa (D)
Bench: V. Bergh, L. Egloff, R. Himmelmann, E. Laghrissi, Paul Scholl, S. Trémoulet, S. Väänänen, J. Ponente, J. D. Meyer
Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1
- 1 M. Lotka (G)
- 2 K. Manu (D)
- 3 H. Rorig (D)
- 8 Lukas Michelbrink (M)
- 9 L. Copado (F)
- 10 T. Ciğerci (M)
- 19 J. Boziaris (M)
- 20 A. Borgmann (D)
- 21 Luca Erlein (D)
- 31 J. Butler (M)
- 32 L. Bittencourt (M)
Bench: T. Campulka, Fousseny Doumbia, M. Hannemann, J. Hofmann, C. Kinsombi, R. Malone, D. Pelivan, Dmytro Bohdanov, K. Kratzsch
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Karlsruher SC or draw | 1.27 | 73.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Double chance Energie Cottbus or draw | 1.91 | 49.1% | +3.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.21 | 77.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Karlsruher SC | 1.44 | 65.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Energie Cottbus | 2.69 | 34.8% | +3.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 86.5% | +2.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 70.5% | +4.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.85 | 50.9% | +5.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.34 | 69.4% | +4.8 pts |
| Karlsruher SC over 1.5 team goals | 1.48 | 63.5% | +1.4 pts |
| Energie Cottbus over 1.5 team goals | 2.02 | 46.5% | +6.7 pts |
| Karlsruher SC clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +0.0 pts |
| Energie Cottbus clean sheet | 8.00 | 11.9% | -3.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 2-1 8.85 · 1-1 9.06 · 2-2 10.57 · 3-1 12.17 · 1-2 12.47
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 11:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).