SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Bayern München carried the greater threat — shots 5–28, 1–6 on target, 3–16 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Bayern München held 72% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
- 8 Ł. Poręba (M)
- 19 L. Pinckert (D)
- 20 N. Kristof (G)
- 21 L. Günther (D)
- 25 L. Petkov (M)
- 30 J. Gyamerah (D)
- 31 M. Rohr (D)
- 39 William Cole Campbell (M)
- 40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka (M)
- 42 D. Mokwa (F)
- 43 F. Keidel (M)
Bench: T. Boss, A. Condé, Noah Darvich, N. Futkeu, M. Krattenmacher, F. Le Joncour, N. Mickelson, L. Schnellbacher, L. Sirch
Bayern München 4-2-3-1
- 2 D. Upamecano (D)
- 3 Kim Min-Jae (D)
- 8 T. Bischof (M)
- 9 H. Kane (F)
- 11 N. Brown (D)
- 17 M. Olise (M)
- 34 I. Saibari (M)
- 40 J. Urbig (G)
- 42 L. Karl (M)
- 44 J. Stanišić (D)
- 45 A. Pavlović (M)
Bench: M. Neuer, J. Musiala, J. Tah, K. Laimer, J. Kimmich, H. Ito, S. Gnabry, L. Díaz, A. Davies
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance SV Elversberg or draw | 5.66 | 17.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Double chance Bayern München or draw | 1.03 | 93.3% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.07 | 89.8% | +2.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — SV Elversberg | 10.85 | 8.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Bayern München | 1.03 | 91.3% | +1.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.02 | 93.1% | +2.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.10 | 84.5% | +5.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.35 | 70.1% | +7.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.48 | 62.9% | +2.4 pts |
| SV Elversberg over 1.5 team goals | 3.27 | 28.6% | +1.3 pts |
| Bayern München over 1.5 team goals | 1.08 | 86.6% | +3.4 pts |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 26.00 | 3.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | -4.2 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-3 10.14 · 0-3 10.67 · 1-4 10.79 · 0-4 11.23 · 1-2 12.26
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).