Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sep 2026, 12:00 BST

1. FC Kaiserslautern
v Eintracht Braunschweig

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The model's read

1. FC Kaiserslautern

39%

match result

Draw

27%

match result

Eintracht Braunschweig

34%

match result

Market	Model probability
Double chance 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw	66.2%
Double chance Eintracht Braunschweig or draw	60.6%
Double chance either team	73.3%
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%
Over 2.5 goals	56.6%
Over 3.5 goals	34.2%
Both teams to score	60.5%
1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 team goals	45.5%
Eintracht Braunschweig over 1.5 team goals	41.2%
1. FC Kaiserslautern clean sheet	24.4%
Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet	21.5%

Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.5% · 2-1 8.7% · 1-2 8.0% · 1-0 6.9% · 0-0 6.4%

Model readiness. 1. FC Kaiserslautern has played 5 league games this season, Eintracht Braunschweig 5 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.

Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public, separately, on the calibration page.

Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.

The market’s read

1. FC Kaiserslautern

49%

market implied · price 1.90

Draw

25%

market implied · price 3.72

Eintracht Braunschweig

27%

market implied · price 3.48

Market	Consensus price	Implied chance	Model	Gap
Double chance 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw	1.27	73.3%	66.2%	-7.1
Double chance Eintracht Braunschweig or draw	1.84	50.8%	60.6%	+9.7
Double chance either team	1.23	75.9%	73.3%	-2.6
Draw no bet — 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1.43	64.7%	—	—
Draw no bet — Eintracht Braunschweig	2.62	35.3%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	1.15	80.8%	80.5%	-0.3
Over 2.5 goals	1.57	60.0%	56.6%	-3.4
Over 3.5 goals	2.37	39.3%	34.2%	-5.1
Both teams to score	1.50	61.5%	60.5%	-1.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern over 1.5 team goals	1.69	55.3%	45.5%	-9.8
Eintracht Braunschweig over 1.5 team goals	2.45	38.1%	41.2%	+3.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern clean sheet	3.40	27.7%	24.4%	-3.3
Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet	5.50	17.2%	21.5%	+4.3

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.37 · 2-1 8.18 · 1-0 9.61 · 2-0 10.82 · 2-2 11.63

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-16 08:05 UTC. Refreshed each morning while the fixture is inside the four-day odds window.

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked. Where the model column disagrees with the market, that is an observation, not advice — the model’s record, wins and losses alike, is on the record.

Availability and rotation

No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.

Hot stats & streaks

Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.