Cremonese 0–0 Virtus Entella
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.01–1.02.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1–1, shots 11–17 with 5–4 on target. Cremonese's finishing let them down — 0 from 1 xG despite 5 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A 0–0 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Cremonese 4-2-3-1
- 2 M. Thorsby (M)
- 6 F. Baschirotto (D)
- 10 Adin Ličina (M)
- 14 T. Berti (M)
- 15 M. Bianchetti (D)
- 16 F. Gerli (M)
- 20 S. Pontisso (M)
- 21 Y. Rocchetti (D)
- 22 F. Agazzi (G)
- 38 A. Vogliacco (D)
- 90 F. Bonazzoli (F)
Bench: Riccardo Liberali, M. Collocolo, D. Lordkipanidze, Simone Lottici Tessadri, Fellipe Jack, M. Nasti, G. Pezzella, M. Đurić, A. Grassi, M. Festa, S. Elia, M. De Luca
Virtus Entella 3-5-2
- 5 N. Squizzato (M)
- 6 A. Tiritiello (D)
- 8 L. Vignali (M)
- 10 L. Cuppone (F)
- 11 Bernat Guiu (F)
- 22 F. Del Frate (G)
- 23 L. Parodi (D)
- 24 A. Franzoni (M)
- 26 Stefano Di Mario (M)
- 27 M. Alborghetti (D)
- 80 L. Benedetti (M)
Bench: Lucas Felippe, T. Annoni, S. Colombi, Giacomo Corona, F. Forte, Marwane Kritta, I. Marconi, N. Previtali, M. Tirelli, E. Torrielli, R. Turicchia, M. Valori
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Cremonese or draw | 1.23 | 76.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Double chance Virtus Entella or draw | 1.83 | 51.3% | +5.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 72.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cremonese | 1.41 | 66.0% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Virtus Entella | 2.74 | 34.0% | +6.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 70.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 45.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.64 | 25.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.84 | 50.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Cremonese over 1.5 team goals | 2.09 | 44.7% | -5.1 pts |
| Virtus Entella over 1.5 team goals | 3.36 | 27.8% | +2.4 pts |
| Cremonese clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +1.3 pts |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | -0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.14 · 1-0 6.48 · 2-1 8.10 · 0-0 8.60 · 2-0 9.07
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-19 12:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).