Energie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.12–0.77.
The brain read
Energie Cottbus created the better chances — the xG read 1.1–0.8 and the shot count agreed (14–7, 5–2 on target). Energie Cottbus got into the box far more often (5 shots inside it to 2) and Energie Cottbus held 69% of the ball. A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Energie Cottbus shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Energie Cottbus or draw | 1.70 | 55.1% | +1.2 pts |
| Double chance FC St. Pauli or draw | 1.35 | 69.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.24 | 75.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Energie Cottbus | 2.27 | 41.2% | +1.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — FC St. Pauli | 1.59 | 58.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 85.1% | +0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 66.7% | +1.0 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.01 | 46.9% | +0.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.37 | 67.9% | +0.8 pts |
| Energie Cottbus over 1.5 team goals | 1.97 | 47.4% | +1.6 pts |
| FC St. Pauli over 1.5 team goals | 1.63 | 57.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Energie Cottbus clean sheet | 6.00 | 15.7% | +0.0 pts |
| FC St. Pauli clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | -1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 8.03 · 1-2 8.96 · 2-2 10.26 · 2-1 10.89 · 0-1 12.75
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-20 08:04 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).