Burgos 1–0 Eldense
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Eldense carried the greater threat — shots 6–11, 2–4 on target, 5–6 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Burgos or draw | 1.23 | 76.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 1.83 | 51.2% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burgos | 1.38 | 67.7% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 2.89 | 32.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 68.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 43.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.92 | 23.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.90 | 48.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Burgos over 1.5 team goals | 2.13 | 43.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 3.60 | 25.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Burgos clean sheet | 2.25 | 41.1% | +3.6 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.85 · 1-0 5.96 · 2-1 7.96 · 0-0 8.04 · 2-0 8.27
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-27 08:01 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).