Eibar 3–2 Las Palmas
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Eibar carried the greater threat — shots 18–11, 6–5 on target, 13–6 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Eibar or draw | 1.22 | 76.8% | +1.0 pts |
| Double chance Las Palmas or draw | 1.86 | 50.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 72.9% | +0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eibar | 1.40 | 66.5% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Las Palmas | 2.78 | 33.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 73.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 49.9% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.17 | 29.5% | +0.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 | 53.7% | +0.5 pts |
| Eibar over 1.5 team goals | 1.92 | 48.6% | +1.7 pts |
| Las Palmas over 1.5 team goals | 3.20 | 29.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Eibar clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Las Palmas clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | -1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.10 · 1-0 6.95 · 2-1 7.92 · 2-0 8.84 · 0-0 9.77
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-27 08:01 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 26 | Eibar | 3-1 | Las Palmas |
| 19 Oct 25 | Las Palmas | 3-1 | Eibar |