Fixture · Serie B · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 BST
Virtus Entella
v Juve Stabia
The model's read
Virtus Entella
39%
match result
Draw
31%
match result
Juve Stabia
29%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Virtus Entella or draw | 70.5% |
| Double chance Juve Stabia or draw | 60.5% |
| Double chance either team | 69.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.5% |
| Both teams to score | 47.1% |
| Virtus Entella over 1.5 team goals | 35.1% |
| Juve Stabia over 1.5 team goals | 27.7% |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 35.5% |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 29.0% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 14.5% · 0-0 11.6% · 1-0 11.4% · 0-1 9.4% · 2-1 8.2%
Model readiness. Virtus Entella has played 5 league games this season, Juve Stabia 5 league games. Until 6, a club's rating still leans on last season's data, so read early-season calls with a raised eyebrow — it is the model's most documented weakness (the fix) and it is split out on the record.
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Virtus Entella
- Virtus Entella are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W1 D2).
Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia are winless in their last 3 league games (D2 L1).
- Juve Stabia have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Recent form — Virtus Entella
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | D | 0-0 | Cremonese (A) | — |
| 11 Sep | W | 4-1 | Pisa (A) | — |
| 06 Sep | D | 2-2 | Vicenza Virtus (H) | — |
| 29 Aug | L | 1-2 | Cesena (H) | 0.7 - 0.5 |
| 22 Aug | L | 0-1 | Sudtirol (A) | 0.4 - 0.7 |
| 08 May | W | 2-1 | Carrarese (H) | 1.5 - 0.5 |
Recent form — Juve Stabia
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | D | 1-1 | Cesena (H) | — |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | Vicenza Virtus (A) | — |
| 06 Sep | L | 0-3 | Pisa (H) | — |
| 29 Aug | W | 2-1 | Sampdoria (A) | 0.9 - 1.4 |
| 23 Aug | L | 0-1 | Palermo (A) | 0.8 - 1.1 |
| 19 May | L | 1-2 | Monza (A) | 0.4 - 1.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Virtus Entella
-0.03
xG diff/game · 0.55 for, 0.58 against
Juve Stabia
-0.41
xG diff/game · 0.86 for, 1.28 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | Serie B | 2026/27 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 7–6 | WDLL |
| Juve Stabia | Serie B | 2026/27 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 4–7 | DDLWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | home | Serie B | 2026/27 | 0-1-1 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 0 |
| Juve Stabia | away | Serie B | 2026/27 | 1-1-1 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 5 meetings: Virtus Entella 1 wins, 3 draws, Juve Stabia 1 wins — 2.2 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 26 | Juve Stabia | 1-0 | Virtus Entella |
| 23 Aug 25 | Virtus Entella | 1-1 | Juve Stabia |