Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Fri 16 Oct 2026, 17:30 BST
Energie Cottbus
v 1. FC Nürnberg
The model's read
Energie Cottbus
46%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
1. FC Nürnberg
29%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Energie Cottbus or draw | 70.6% |
| Double chance 1. FC Nürnberg or draw | 54.3% |
| Double chance either team | 75.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.5% |
| Both teams to score | 64.5% |
| Energie Cottbus over 1.5 team goals | 54.0% |
| 1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 team goals | 41.7% |
| Energie Cottbus clean sheet | 24.1% |
| 1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet | 16.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.2% · 2-1 9.2% · 1-2 7.2% · 2-2 6.5% · 2-0 6.4%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
1. FC Nürnberg
- 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last 9 league games (W7 D2).
- Both teams scored in 5 of 1. FC Nürnberg's last 6 away league games.
- 1. FC Nürnberg have averaged 2.0 goals a game across their last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- T. Ciğerci has scored 3 goals in 3 league games this season.
- M. Lotka has made 14 saves in 3 league games this season.
- L. Bittencourt has 2 assists in 3 league games this season.
- Mohamed Ali Zoma has scored 3 goals in 2 league games this season.
- Julian Justvan has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
- Piet Scobel has scored 2 goals in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form — Energie Cottbus
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | L | 1-3 | SV Darmstadt 98 (A) | 1.5 - 1.4 |
| 20 Sep | D | 1-1 | FC St. Pauli (H) | 1.1 - 0.8 |
| 13 Sep | W | 3-0 | Karlsruher SC (A) | 1.9 - 1.7 |
| 05 Sep | D | 4-4 | VfL Wolfsburg (A) | 3.0 - 3.8 |
| 29 Aug | L | 3-4 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (H) | 3.0 - 2.0 |
| 16 Aug | L | 0-3 | Arminia Bielefeld (A) | 0.6 - 3.6 |
Recent form — 1. FC Nürnberg
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | D | 4-4 | VfL Wolfsburg (H) | 2.2 - 3.7 |
| 19 Sep | W | 1-0 | Karlsruher SC (A) | 0.8 - 0.4 |
| 11 Sep | W | 2-1 | Hannover 96 (H) | 2.1 - 1.3 |
| 05 Sep | D | 2-2 | Holstein Kiel (A) | 1.8 - 0.7 |
| 29 Aug | W | 4-1 | Arminia Bielefeld (H) | 0.9 - 1.2 |
| 15 Aug | W | 4-2 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (A) | 1.2 - 2.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Energie Cottbus
-0.50
xG diff/game · 1.79 for, 2.29 against
1. FC Nürnberg
+0.01
xG diff/game · 1.62 for, 1.61 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 1.143 | 15–16 | LDWDL |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 2.429 | 20–10 | DWWDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-0-1 | 3.0 / 2.5 | 0 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-1-0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
No meetings on record.