Charlton
v Bolton
The model's read
| Match result | Model | Market | Gap (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 44% | 42% | +1 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | +0 |
| Bolton | 29% | 31% | -2 |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.8% · 2-1 9.2% · 1-0 8.1% · 2-0 7.3% · 1-2 7.3%
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move | Model | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Charlton or draw | 1.36 | 68.9% | -0.2 pts | 70.8% | +1.9 |
| Double chance Bolton or draw | 1.63 | 57.6% | +0.2 pts | 56.2% | -1.4 |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.4% | +0.1 pts | 72.9% | -0.5 |
| Draw no bet — Charlton | 1.61 | 57.6% | -0.1 pts | — | — |
| Draw no bet — Bolton | 2.19 | 42.4% | +0.1 pts | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 76.5% | +0.8 pts | 78.7% | +2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 54.1% | +0.9 pts | 53.9% | -0.1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 33.3% | +1.1 pts | 31.6% | -1.6 |
| Both teams to score | 1.59 | 58.4% | +0.9 pts | 58.0% | -0.5 |
| Charlton over 1.5 team goals | 2.00 | 46.6% | +0.1 pts | 46.9% | +0.3 |
| Bolton over 1.5 team goals | 2.43 | 38.3% | +0.5 pts | 35.7% | -2.5 |
| Charlton clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts | 28.5% | +0.8 |
| Bolton clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts | 20.6% | -1.1 |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.55 · 2-1 8.76 · 1-0 8.90 · 1-2 10.32 · 0-1 10.57
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-11-02 08:03 UTC. Refreshed through the final two hours before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Availability and rotation
Charlton: 3 recorded — R. Apter (Missing Fixture), C. Sichenje (Missing Fixture), M. Godden (Questionable)
Bolton: 4 recorded — E. Erhahon (Missing Fixture), R. Hardie (Missing Fixture), J. McAtee (Missing Fixture), J. Nelson (Missing Fixture)
Rotation risk — Charlton: another match 3d after (2026-11-07).
Rotation risk — Bolton: another match 3d after (2026-11-06).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Charlton
- Charlton are winless in their last 10 league games (D5 L5).
- Charlton have lost their last 3 league games.
- Charlton have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Bolton
- Bolton are winless in their last 3 league games (D1 L2).
Players in form
- A. Okonkwo has made 36 saves in 12 league games this season.
- L. Jones has scored 2 goals in 13 league games this season.
- Tyreece Campbell has scored 2 goals in 4 league games this season.
- G. Bazunu has made 29 saves in 10 league games this season.
- S. Dalby has scored 5 goals in 13 league games this season.
- T. Gale has scored 3 goals in 13 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Charlton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-3 | Middlesbrough (A) | 0.4 - 1.7 |
| 24 Oct | L | 1-3 | Norwich (H) | 0.9 - 1.8 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-2 | Watford (A) | 1.3 - 2.9 |
| 13 Oct | D | 2-2 | Burnley (A) | 2.1 - 1.1 |
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Bristol City (H) | 2.0 - 1.6 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-3 | Cardiff (A) | 1.3 - 2.6 |
Bolton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 2-3 | Bristol City (H) | 1.3 - 3.2 |
| 23 Oct | L | 1-5 | Middlesbrough (H) | 0.9 - 4.2 |
| 17 Oct | D | 0-0 | Southampton (A) | 1.2 - 1.9 |
| 13 Oct | W | 3-1 | Wolves (A) | 1.6 - 2.3 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Stoke City (H) | 3.0 - 0.7 |
| 20 Sep | W | 4-3 | Norwich (A) | 1.1 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | Championship | 2026/27 | 20 | 13 | 14 | 1.077 | 11–21 | LLLDD |
| Bolton | Championship | 2026/27 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 1.077 | 18–26 | LLDWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-3-1 | 0.8 / 0.8 | 3 |
| Bolton | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-2-2 | 1.5 / 1.8 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Charlton 3 wins, 2 draws, Bolton 5 wins — 3.3 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.