Preston
v Sheffield Utd
The model's read
| Match result | Model | Market | Gap (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 35% | 29% | +5 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| Sheffield Utd | 38% | 44% | -6 |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.9% · 1-2 8.6% · 2-1 8.1% · 0-1 7.2% · 0-0 6.9%
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move | Model | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Preston or draw | 1.69 | 55.7% | -3.3 pts | 61.9% | +6.3 |
| Double chance Sheffield Utd or draw | 1.32 | 70.9% | +3.7 pts | 65.4% | -5.5 |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.5% | -0.4 pts | 72.7% | -0.7 |
| Draw no bet — Preston | 2.33 | 39.9% | -4.6 pts | — | — |
| Draw no bet — Sheffield Utd | 1.55 | 60.1% | +4.6 pts | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 76.1% | -1.1 pts | 79.1% | +3.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 53.7% | -1.8 pts | 54.6% | +0.9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 32.7% | -2.0 pts | 32.3% | -0.5 |
| Both teams to score | 1.61 | 57.7% | -1.8 pts | 59.1% | +1.4 |
| Preston over 1.5 team goals | 2.56 | 36.4% | -4.3 pts | 40.6% | +4.2 |
| Sheffield Utd over 1.5 team goals | 1.94 | 47.9% | +0.9 pts | 43.2% | -4.7 |
| Preston clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts | 23.0% | +1.3 |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +0.0 pts | 24.8% | -6.4 |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.71 · 1-2 8.56 · 0-1 8.70 · 2-1 10.68 · 0-2 10.79
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-11-02 08:01 UTC. Refreshed through the final two hours before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Where the model disagrees with the market
The biggest gaps from the 02 Nov odds scan (each at least 4 points, at odds of 1.50 or better).
- Preston, draw no bet at 2.33 — model 47%, market 40% (margin removed): a 7-point gap.
- Preston, draw no bet at 2.33 — model 47%, market 40% (margin removed): a 7-point gap.
- Preston +0.5 on the Asian handicap at 1.72 — model 62%, market 55% (margin removed): a 6-point gap.
5 further smaller disagreements on this fixture cleared the same bars.
What a gap does and does not mean
Availability and rotation
Preston: 5 recorded — H. Clarke (Missing Fixture), L. Gibbs (Missing Fixture), L. Gibson (Missing Fixture), A. McCann (Missing Fixture), T. Carroll (Questionable)
Sheffield Utd: 5 recorded — M. Doherty (Missing Fixture), L. Kitching (Missing Fixture), R. One (Missing Fixture), J. Shackleton (Missing Fixture), P. Bamford (Questionable)
Rotation risk — Preston: another match 3d after (2026-11-07).
Rotation risk — Sheffield Utd: another match 3d after (2026-11-07).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Preston
- Preston are winless in their last 8 league games (D2 L6).
- Preston have conceded in each of their last 28 league games.
Sheffield Utd
- Sheffield Utd are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
Players in form
- D. Iversen has made 39 saves in 13 league games this season.
- C. Lang has scored 3 goals in 13 league games this season.
- J. Kenny has scored 2 goals in 6 league games this season.
- M. Cooper has made 39 saves in 13 league games this season.
- P. Bamford has scored 5 goals in 12 league games this season.
- T. Cannon has scored 3 goals in 13 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Preston
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-2 | Stoke City (A) | 0.2 - 2.2 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | West Brom (H) | 1.8 - 2.1 |
| 17 Oct | L | 1-4 | Wrexham (A) | 0.8 - 2.0 |
| 13 Oct | L | 0-4 | Birmingham (A) | 0.5 - 2.2 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Millwall (H) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | QPR (A) | 1.5 - 2.5 |
Sheffield Utd
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | W | 1-0 | Wrexham (H) | 1.1 - 0.7 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | Derby (H) | 2.5 - 1.1 |
| 17 Oct | W | 1-0 | Bristol City (A) | 1.2 - 0.6 |
| 14 Oct | L | 2-3 | Portsmouth (A) | 2.0 - 2.2 |
| 10 Oct | W | 3-0 | Lincoln (H) | 0.6 - 1.3 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Stoke City (A) | 0.4 - 0.7 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | Championship | 2026/27 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 0.385 | 10–27 | LDLLL |
| Sheffield Utd | Championship | 2026/27 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 1.462 | 17–15 | WDWLW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-1-4 | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0 |
| Sheffield Utd | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-2-2 | 1.3 / 1.3 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Preston 2 wins, 3 draws, Sheffield Utd 5 wins — 3.3 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 26 | Sheffield Utd | 2-3 | Preston |
| 24 Oct 25 | Preston | 3-2 | Sheffield Utd |