West Brom
v Southampton
The model's read
| Match result | Model | Market | Gap (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 39% | 38% | +0 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | +0 |
| Southampton | 34% | 35% | -1 |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.5% · 2-1 8.7% · 1-2 8.1% · 1-0 6.9% · 0-0 6.4%
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move | Model | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance West Brom or draw | 1.45 | 64.8% | +2.0 pts | 65.6% | +0.8 |
| Double chance Southampton or draw | 1.51 | 61.9% | -0.5 pts | 61.3% | -0.7 |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.3% | -1.5 pts | 73.2% | -0.1 |
| Draw no bet — West Brom | 1.80 | 51.5% | +1.2 pts | — | — |
| Draw no bet — Southampton | 1.92 | 48.5% | -1.2 pts | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 78.1% | -2.2 pts | 80.4% | +2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 56.4% | -3.3 pts | 56.4% | -0.0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.61 | 35.7% | -3.0 pts | 34.0% | -1.7 |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 | 60.7% | -2.2 pts | 60.5% | -0.2 |
| West Brom over 1.5 team goals | 2.03 | 46.0% | -1.5 pts | 44.9% | -1.1 |
| Southampton over 1.5 team goals | 2.15 | 43.3% | -3.9 pts | 41.6% | -1.7 |
| West Brom clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +0.0 pts | 24.1% | +0.7 |
| Southampton clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | +0.0 pts | 21.9% | -1.5 |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.89 · 2-1 9.16 · 1-2 9.46 · 1-0 10.22 · 0-1 10.46
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-11-02 08:02 UTC. Refreshed through the final two hours before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Availability and rotation
West Brom: 3 recorded — T. Collyer (Missing Fixture), N. Galves (Missing Fixture), M. Johnston (Missing Fixture)
Southampton: 1 recorded — C. Larin (Questionable)
Rotation risk — West Brom: another match 3d after (2026-11-07).
Rotation risk — Southampton: another match 3d after (2026-11-07).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
West Brom
- West Brom are unbeaten in their last 4 league games (W3 D1).
- Both teams have scored in each of West Brom's last 4 league games.
- West Brom have conceded in each of their last 7 league games.
Southampton
- Southampton are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (W4 D1).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- M. O’Leary has made 42 saves in 13 league games this season.
- I. Price has scored 4 goals in 13 league games this season.
- A. Heggebø has scored 4 goals in 12 league games this season.
- Daniel Peretz has made 42 saves in 13 league games this season.
- C. Larin has scored 7 goals in 11 league games this season.
- F. Azaz has 3 goals and 5 assists in 13 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
West Brom
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-1 | West Ham (A) | 2.1 - 1.0 |
| 24 Oct | D | 1-1 | Preston (A) | 2.1 - 1.8 |
| 17 Oct | W | 3-2 | Blackburn (H) | 3.7 - 0.8 |
| 13 Oct | W | 2-1 | Wrexham (A) | 1.0 - 0.5 |
| 10 Oct | L | 0-1 | Birmingham (H) | 1.1 - 2.6 |
| 20 Sep | L | 0-1 | Wolves (A) | 0.3 - 1.9 |
Southampton
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 4-1 | QPR (H) | 1.2 - 0.8 |
| 24 Oct | W | 3-2 | West Ham (A) | 1.6 - 1.6 |
| 17 Oct | D | 0-0 | Bolton (H) | 1.9 - 1.2 |
| 14 Oct | W | 1-0 | Norwich (A) | 2.5 - 1.1 |
| 11 Oct | W | 1-0 | Portsmouth (H) | 1.4 - 0.8 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Wrexham (A) | 2.1 - 0.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | Championship | 2026/27 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 1.846 | 19–14 | WDWWL |
| Southampton | Championship | 2026/27 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 1.769 | 28–13 | WWDWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 3-2-1 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Southampton | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-2-2 | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: West Brom 1 wins, 2 draws, Southampton 7 wins — 2.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 26 | West Brom | 1-1 | Southampton |
| 09 Dec 25 | Southampton | 3-2 | West Brom |