Fixture · 2. Bundesliga · Fri 06 Nov 2026, 17:30 GMT
Dynamo Dresden
v SpVgg Greuther Fürth
The model's read
Dynamo Dresden
54%
match result
Draw
25%
match result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
21%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Dynamo Dresden or draw | 79.1% |
| Double chance SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw | 46.1% |
| Double chance either team | 74.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.4% |
| Both teams to score | 55.7% |
| Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 team goals | 54.0% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 team goals | 28.6% |
| Dynamo Dresden clean sheet | 34.7% |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet | 16.4% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.0% · 2-1 9.8% · 2-0 9.3% · 1-0 9.2% · 0-0 6.8%
Young rating. This league joined the model this season, so the numbers
above are built on a first season of data only — a small sample with no prior
seasons behind it. Read them with more caution than the established six leagues. No
picks are generated from young leagues; how well these reads age is scored in public,
separately, on the calibration page.
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden have averaged 2.3 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Both teams scored in 5 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- J. Sterner has scored 2 goals in 3 league games this season.
- T. Schreiber has made 11 saves in 3 league games this season.
- F. Klaus has scored 5 goals in 3 league games this season.
- Florian Hellstern has made 9 saves in 2 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Dynamo Dresden
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | L | 1-2 | Hannover 96 (A) | 1.4 - 2.7 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-3 | Holstein Kiel (A) | 2.0 - 1.5 |
| 18 Oct | W | 2-0 | 1. FC Magdeburg (H) | 2.1 - 0.9 |
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | VfL Osnabrück (A) | 0.6 - 1.5 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Hertha BSC (H) | 0.8 - 2.6 |
| 12 Sep | D | 2-2 | Eintracht Braunschweig (A) | 1.0 - 1.3 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 1-0 | Holstein Kiel (H) | 0.8 - 1.2 |
| 25 Oct | L | 0-3 | VfL Osnabrück (A) | 0.7 - 2.5 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-0 | Eintracht Braunschweig (H) | 0.7 - 1.3 |
| 11 Oct | L | 1-2 | Hertha BSC (A) | 1.1 - 1.8 |
| 18 Sep | D | 1-1 | 1. FC Magdeburg (H) | 0.7 - 0.9 |
| 12 Sep | D | 1-1 | VfL Bochum (A) | 1.6 - 1.5 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Dynamo Dresden
-0.44
xG diff/game · 1.32 for, 1.76 against
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
-0.39
xG diff/game · 1.25 for, 1.64 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 0.8 | 12–20 | LLWDL |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 1.2 | 13–16 | WLWLD |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | home | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 2-0-2 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 2 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | away | 2. Bundesliga | 2026/27 | 1-2-2 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Dynamo Dresden 2 wins, 3 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 wins — 1.9 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | Dynamo Dresden | 2-0 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 03 Aug 25 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 3-2 | Dynamo Dresden |