Fixture · Premier League · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 GMT
Arsenal
v Hull City
The model's read
Arsenal
77%
match result
Draw
17%
match result
Hull City
6%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Arsenal or draw | 93.8% |
| Double chance Hull City or draw | 23.2% |
| Double chance either team | 82.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.2% |
| Both teams to score | 37.5% |
| Arsenal over 1.5 team goals | 66.7% |
| Hull City over 1.5 team goals | 9.8% |
| Arsenal clean sheet | 59.1% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 10.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 15.7% · 1-0 13.0% · 3-0 12.0% · 2-1 8.2% · 1-1 7.9%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Arsenal: another match 3d before (2026-11-04).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Arsenal
- Arsenal have won their last 4 league games.
- Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 league games.
- Arsenal have won 6 of their last 6 home league games.
- Arsenal have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home league games.
Hull City
- Hull City are winless in their last 7 league games (D5 L2).
- Hull City have conceded in each of their last 6 league games.
Players in form
- David Raya has made 18 saves in 9 league games this season.
- D. Rice has 0 goals and 5 assists in 9 league games this season.
- B. Saka has scored 3 goals in 7 league games this season.
- K. Tzolakis has made 32 saves in 9 league games this season.
- M. Belloumi has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- O. McBurnie has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Arsenal
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | W | 1-0 | Liverpool (A) | 1.0 - 1.2 |
| 24 Oct | W | 2-0 | Everton (H) | 1.9 - 0.5 |
| 21 Oct | D | 2-2 | Bayern München (A) | 1.4 - 2.5 |
| 18 Oct | W | 1-0 | Nottingham Forest (A) | 1.1 - 0.8 |
| 13 Oct | W | 3-0 | Lille (H) | 1.9 - 0.4 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Leeds (H) | 2.7 - 0.7 |
Hull City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 2-2 | Ipswich (H) | 0.8 - 1.1 |
| 25 Oct | D | 1-1 | Brentford (H) | 1.9 - 1.9 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | Fulham (A) | 0.2 - 1.5 |
| 11 Oct | D | 2-2 | Everton (H) | 1.4 - 1.7 |
| 19 Sep | L | 1-2 | Newcastle (A) | 1.6 - 1.4 |
| 12 Sep | D | 2-2 | Chelsea (A) | 1.4 - 0.9 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Arsenal
+0.85
xG diff/game · 1.67 for, 0.81 against
Hull City
-0.39
xG diff/game · 1.08 for, 1.47 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 2.667 | 14–5 | WWWWL |
| Hull City | Premier League | 2026/27 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 1.222 | 11–10 | DDLDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 4-0-0 | 2.3 / 0.5 | 2 |
| Hull City | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.0 / 1.3 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Arsenal 8 wins, 2 draws, Hull City 0 wins — 3.1 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.