Fixture · Serie A · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 19:45 GMT
AS Roma
v Sassuolo
The model's read
AS Roma
69%
match result
Draw
18%
match result
Sassuolo
12%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance AS Roma or draw | 87.8% |
| Double chance Sassuolo or draw | 30.7% |
| Double chance either team | 81.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.1% |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% |
| AS Roma over 1.5 team goals | 70.7% |
| Sassuolo over 1.5 team goals | 25.5% |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 37.7% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 8.5% |
Most likely scorelines: 2-0 9.7% · 2-1 9.5% · 1-1 8.5% · 3-0 8.0% · 3-1 7.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
AS Roma
- AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 17 league games (W13 D4).
- AS Roma have won 5 of their last 6 home league games.
- AS Roma have averaged 2.7 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Sassuolo
- Sassuolo have lost their last 4 league games.
- Sassuolo are winless in their last 6 league games (D1 L5).
- Sassuolo have not won any of their last 6 away league games (D1 L5).
- Sassuolo have conceded in each of their last 13 league games.
Players in form
- D. Malen has scored 8 goals in 9 league games this season.
- M. Soulé has 3 goals and 3 assists in 10 league games this season.
- P. Gollini has made 21 saves in 10 league games this season.
- A. Murić has made 32 saves in 10 league games this season.
- Vasilije Adžić has scored 3 goals in 10 league games this season.
- C. Odenthal has scored 2 goals in 10 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
AS Roma
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 5-2 | Udinese (A) | 2.9 - 1.9 |
| 27 Oct | W | 4-2 | Cagliari (H) | 2.9 - 2.3 |
| 24 Oct | D | 3-3 | Napoli (A) | 1.9 - 2.4 |
| 20 Oct | W | 4-0 | Slovan Bratislava (H) | 3.6 - 0.0 |
| 17 Oct | W | 2-0 | Genoa (H) | 1.4 - 0.5 |
| 14 Oct | L | 3-4 | Real Madrid (H) | 1.5 - 1.9 |
Sassuolo
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | L | 2-4 | Fiorentina (H) | 0.9 - 2.5 |
| 27 Oct | L | 2-6 | Lazio (H) | 0.8 - 3.4 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-2 | Como (A) | 0.3 - 1.7 |
| 16 Oct | L | 2-4 | Frosinone (A) | 1.9 - 2.1 |
| 11 Oct | D | 1-1 | AC Milan (H) | 1.3 - 1.2 |
| 18 Sep | L | 1-2 | Monza (A) | 1.6 - 1.4 |
Chance quality, most recent season
AS Roma
+0.94
xG diff/game · 2.29 for, 1.35 against
Sassuolo
-0.36
xG diff/game · 1.36 for, 1.73 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | Serie A | 2026/27 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 2.4 | 28–10 | WWDWD |
| Sassuolo | Serie A | 2026/27 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 0.889 | 14–22 | LLLDL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | home | Serie A | 2026/27 | 4-1-0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2 |
| Sassuolo | away | Serie A | 2026/27 | 0-1-4 | 1.2 / 2.4 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: AS Roma 5 wins, 4 draws, Sassuolo 1 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 26 | AS Roma | 2-0 | Sassuolo |
| 26 Oct 25 | Sassuolo | 0-1 | AS Roma |