Fixture · Championship · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 GMT
Birmingham
v Swansea
The model's read
Birmingham
47%
match result
Draw
26%
match result
Swansea
26%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Birmingham or draw | 73.6% |
| Double chance Swansea or draw | 52.9% |
| Double chance either team | 73.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| Both teams to score | 57.8% |
| Birmingham over 1.5 team goals | 49.6% |
| Swansea over 1.5 team goals | 33.8% |
| Birmingham clean sheet | 30.1% |
| Swansea clean sheet | 18.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.5% · 2-1 9.5% · 1-0 8.3% · 2-0 7.9% · 1-2 6.8%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Birmingham
- 5 of Birmingham's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Birmingham have averaged 2.3 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Swansea
- 5 of Swansea's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Players in form
- J. Beadle has made 34 saves in 13 league games this season.
- A. Priske has scored 6 goals in 11 league games this season.
- L. Millar has 4 goals and 3 assists in 9 league games this season.
- L. Vigouroux has made 28 saves in 13 league games this season.
- A. Idah has scored 4 goals in 13 league games this season.
- M. Yeo has scored 3 goals in 11 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Birmingham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-1 | Lincoln (A) | 2.1 - 1.6 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-1 | Cardiff (A) | 0.9 - 2.4 |
| 17 Oct | W | 3-0 | QPR (H) | 1.3 - 1.2 |
| 13 Oct | W | 4-0 | Preston (H) | 2.2 - 0.5 |
| 10 Oct | W | 1-0 | West Brom (A) | 2.6 - 1.1 |
| 19 Sep | D | 2-2 | Middlesbrough (H) | 1.2 - 2.1 |
Swansea
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 4-0 | Blackburn (H) | 2.4 - 0.4 |
| 24 Oct | L | 0-5 | QPR (A) | 0.3 - 3.3 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | West Ham (H) | 1.1 - 1.2 |
| 13 Oct | W | 1-0 | Millwall (A) | 1.0 - 1.1 |
| 10 Oct | W | 2-1 | Norwich (H) | 2.2 - 0.7 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Lincoln (A) | 0.9 - 2.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Birmingham
+0.33
xG diff/game · 1.64 for, 1.31 against
Swansea
+0.29
xG diff/game · 1.47 for, 1.19 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | Championship | 2026/27 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 1.769 | 23–13 | WLWWW |
| Swansea | Championship | 2026/27 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 2.0 | 20–13 | WLLWW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-4-0 | 2.3 / 1.2 | 2 |
| Swansea | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 4-0-2 | 1.5 / 1.7 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Birmingham 4 wins, 6 draws, Swansea 0 wins — 2.4 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 26 | Swansea | 1-1 | Birmingham |
| 20 Sep 25 | Birmingham | 1-0 | Swansea |