Fixture · Championship · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 12:30 GMT
Bristol City
v Norwich
The model's read
Bristol City
50%
match result
Draw
27%
match result
Norwich
24%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Bristol City or draw | 76.3% |
| Double chance Norwich or draw | 50.3% |
| Double chance either team | 73.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Both teams to score | 54.9% |
| Bristol City over 1.5 team goals | 49.6% |
| Norwich over 1.5 team goals | 29.7% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 33.7% |
| Norwich clean sheet | 18.9% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 12.7% · 2-1 9.6% · 1-0 9.4% · 2-0 8.8% · 0-0 7.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Bristol City: another match 3d before (2026-11-04).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Bristol City
- Only 1 of Bristol City's last 6 home league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in only 1 of Bristol City's last 6 home league games.
- Bristol City have scored just 3 goals across their last 6 home league games.
Norwich
- Norwich have conceded in each of their last 20 league games.
- 5 of Norwich's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
Players in form
- D. Ballard has scored 4 goals in 13 league games this season.
- Rio Cardines has 0 goals and 6 assists in 13 league games this season.
- S. Twine has scored 4 goals in 13 league games this season.
- V. Kovačević has made 22 saves in 11 league games this season.
- M. Touré has scored 5 goals in 7 league games this season.
- M. Kvistgaarden has 3 goals and 4 assists in 11 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Bristol City
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-2 | Bolton (A) | 3.2 - 1.3 |
| 24 Oct | D | 0-0 | Stoke City (A) | 0.8 - 0.7 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | Sheffield Utd (H) | 0.6 - 1.2 |
| 13 Oct | L | 0-1 | Blackburn (H) | 1.8 - 0.2 |
| 10 Oct | D | 1-1 | Charlton (A) | 1.6 - 2.0 |
| 18 Sep | W | 1-0 | Watford (H) | 1.6 - 0.5 |
Norwich
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | W | 3-2 | Watford (H) | 1.2 - 1.0 |
| 24 Oct | W | 3-1 | Charlton (A) | 1.8 - 0.9 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | Portsmouth (H) | 0.4 - 1.2 |
| 14 Oct | L | 0-1 | Southampton (H) | 1.1 - 2.5 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Swansea (A) | 0.7 - 2.2 |
| 20 Sep | L | 3-4 | Bolton (H) | 0.7 - 1.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Bristol City
+0.23
xG diff/game · 1.42 for, 1.18 against
Norwich
+0.01
xG diff/game · 1.46 for, 1.44 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Championship | 2026/27 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 1.385 | 15–17 | WDLLD |
| Norwich | Championship | 2026/27 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 1.154 | 23–24 | WWLLL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-4 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Norwich | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 2-0-4 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 0 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Bristol City 4 wins, 1 draws, Norwich 5 wins — 2.6 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 26 | Bristol City | 2-4 | Norwich |
| 18 Oct 25 | Norwich | 0-1 | Bristol City |