Fixture · Championship · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 GMT
Cardiff
v Burnley
The model's read
Cardiff
48%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Burnley
28%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Cardiff or draw | 71.9% |
| Double chance Burnley or draw | 52.2% |
| Double chance either team | 75.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.3% |
| Both teams to score | 66.1% |
| Cardiff over 1.5 team goals | 57.1% |
| Burnley over 1.5 team goals | 42.3% |
| Cardiff clean sheet | 23.6% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 14.7% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 10.6% · 2-1 9.2% · 1-2 6.9% · 2-2 6.6% · 2-0 6.4%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Rotation risk — Cardiff: another match 3d before (2026-11-04).
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Cardiff
- Both teams scored in 5 of Cardiff's last 6 home league games.
- Cardiff have averaged 2.2 goals a game across their last 6 home league games.
Burnley
- Burnley are winless in their last 4 league games (D2 L2).
- 5 of Burnley's last 6 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 away league games.
Players in form
- N. Trott has made 46 saves in 13 league games this season.
- J. Moylan has 6 goals and 3 assists in 13 league games this season.
- O. Tanner has 2 goals and 4 assists in 13 league games this season.
- Z. Amdouni has scored 3 goals in 9 league games this season.
- G. Coudert has made 19 saves in 12 league games this season.
- M. Weiß has made 16 saves in 13 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Cardiff
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | L | 0-3 | Wolves (A) | 1.1 - 1.6 |
| 24 Oct | W | 1-0 | Birmingham (H) | 2.4 - 0.9 |
| 17 Oct | D | 2-2 | Middlesbrough (A) | 0.9 - 2.8 |
| 13 Oct | W | 5-1 | Watford (H) | 3.8 - 1.5 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Blackburn (A) | 1.1 - 1.8 |
| 19 Sep | W | 3-1 | Charlton (H) | 2.6 - 1.3 |
Burnley
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 0-0 | Portsmouth (H) | 1.8 - 0.3 |
| 24 Oct | L | 1-4 | Lincoln (A) | 2.4 - 1.9 |
| 16 Oct | L | 1-2 | Wolves (H) | 1.0 - 1.9 |
| 13 Oct | D | 2-2 | Charlton (H) | 1.1 - 2.1 |
| 10 Oct | W | 4-0 | Watford (A) | 1.9 - 0.6 |
| 19 Sep | D | 1-1 | Derby (H) | 0.5 - 1.8 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Cardiff
+0.30
xG diff/game · 1.79 for, 1.49 against
Burnley
-0.20
xG diff/game · 1.34 for, 1.54 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | Championship | 2026/27 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 1.077 | 19–20 | LWDWL |
| Burnley | Championship | 2026/27 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 0.692 | 17–25 | DLLDW |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | home | Championship | 2026/27 | 3-3-0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 1 |
| Burnley | away | Championship | 2026/27 | 1-1-4 | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Cardiff 1 wins, 4 draws, Burnley 5 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
Match-by-match detail predates the fixtures this site tracks; the summary above comes from the head-to-head archive.