Fixture · Premier League · Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 GMT
Fulham
v Newcastle
The model's read
Fulham
57%
match result
Draw
24%
match result
Newcastle
19%
match result
| Market | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Double chance Fulham or draw | 81.0% |
| Double chance Newcastle or draw | 42.7% |
| Double chance either team | 76.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% |
| Both teams to score | 57.2% |
| Fulham over 1.5 team goals | 58.3% |
| Newcastle over 1.5 team goals | 28.6% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 34.7% |
| Newcastle clean sheet | 14.1% |
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 11.1% · 2-1 9.9% · 2-0 9.4% · 1-0 8.6% · 3-1 6.5%
Probabilities, not selections. Every number above is read off one
Dixon-Coles scoreline grid. None of it becomes a call until there is a market price to
beat, the edge survives the margin, and lineups are confirmed. Nothing here is staked.
Availability and rotation
No recorded absences for this fixture yet. The collector refreshes availability in the final days before kick-off; an empty list this far out means no data, not a clean bill of health.
Hot stats & streaks
Mined from recorded results in our own database — league games only, every line states its sample. Descriptive, not predictive: a streak is what happened, not what happens next.
Fulham
- Fulham are unbeaten in their last 3 league games (W2 D1).
Players in form
- B. Leno has made 23 saves in 9 league games this season.
- Joshua King has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
- L. Horníček has made 31 saves in 9 league games this season.
- A. Elanga has scored 2 goals in 5 league games this season.
- H. Barnes has scored 2 goals in 9 league games this season.
This season, league games only. Match ratings are our data provider’s per-game scores, not our model.
Recent form
Fulham
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | D | 1-1 | Aston Villa (A) | 2.2 - 1.8 |
| 24 Oct | W | 1-0 | Coventry (A) | 0.6 - 0.6 |
| 17 Oct | W | 1-0 | Hull City (H) | 1.5 - 0.2 |
| 10 Oct | L | 1-2 | Ipswich (A) | 1.9 - 1.2 |
| 20 Sep | D | 1-1 | Manchester United (H) | 1.6 - 1.6 |
| 12 Sep | D | 0-0 | Liverpool (A) | 0.7 - 1.3 |
Newcastle
| Date | R | Score | Opponent | xG for-against |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | L | 0-1 | Everton (H) | 1.5 - 2.2 |
| 25 Oct | W | 2-0 | Crystal Palace (A) | 1.0 - 1.8 |
| 17 Oct | L | 0-1 | Aston Villa (H) | 1.1 - 1.6 |
| 12 Oct | L | 1-4 | Coventry (A) | 1.9 - 1.5 |
| 19 Sep | W | 2-1 | Hull City (H) | 1.4 - 1.6 |
| 14 Sep | L | 1-4 | Leeds (A) | 0.9 - 2.1 |
Chance quality, most recent season
Fulham
+0.21
xG diff/game · 1.54 for, 1.33 against
Newcastle
-0.52
xG diff/game · 1.19 for, 1.71 against
Where they stand
| Team | League | Season | Pos | P | Pts | PPG | Goals | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Premier League | 2026/27 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 1.0 | 9–11 | DWWLD |
| Newcastle | Premier League | 2026/27 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 1.375 | 12–14 | WLLWL |
The table as it stands this season.
Home and away
| Team | Venue | League | Season | W-D-L | Goals for / against per game | Clean sheets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | home | Premier League | 2026/27 | 1-1-2 | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1 |
| Newcastle | away | Premier League | 2026/27 | 2-0-2 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 2 |
This season’s home and away splits.
Head to head
Last 10 meetings: Fulham 3 wins, 0 draws, Newcastle 7 wins — 2.7 goals a game on average.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 26 | Fulham | 2-0 | Newcastle |
| 25 Oct 25 | Newcastle | 2-1 | Fulham |